Do you think PA will be within the MoE this year?
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  Do you think PA will be within the MoE this year?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Do you think the PA Gubernatorial race will be within the MoE (+/- 3 in reputable independent polling) at any point in the remainder of this year?
#1
Yes		  
#2
No		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 46

Author Topic: Do you think PA will be within the MoE this year?  (Read 976 times)
Keystone Phil
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« on: August 11, 2014, 04:25:37 PM »
So do you think we see at least one independent poll that shows the race within the MoE (let's say +/- 3 points)? I'm curious to get the Forum's take on this.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
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« Reply #1 on: August 11, 2014, 04:34:02 PM »
lolno
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: August 11, 2014, 04:42:56 PM »
Only if Gravis or something like that counts as "reputable/independent".

In other words, no.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #3 on: August 11, 2014, 05:06:18 PM »
No but I think it will be end up being about a 10ish point win for Wolf as opposed to a 20 point win.
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Vega
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« Reply #4 on: August 11, 2014, 05:50:43 PM »
No, it'll be a 6-9 point win.
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #5 on: August 12, 2014, 09:47:11 PM »
« Edited: August 13, 2014, 11:18:46 AM by Badger »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 11, 2014, 04:42:56 PM
Only if Gravis or something like that counts as "reputable/independent".

In other words, no.

And probably not even then.

EDIT: Actually, I remembered that Muhlenburg College had Casey up 5 only a month before the election, and some other poll had him up only 4 just a couple days before the vote, and this race shouldn't be THAT bad a wipeout. So I guess anything is possible within the realm of crappy polling.
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #6 on: August 12, 2014, 11:33:12 PM »
Around 7-12. Not quite Santorum-level, but the best case scenario is close.
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #7 on: August 12, 2014, 11:35:23 PM »
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #8 on: August 13, 2014, 04:12:37 AM »
I think it will narrow down to 8-10 points in the end, but that's it.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #9 on: August 13, 2014, 04:23:59 AM »
Depends on what this pollster is up to.

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=48619.0
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #10 on: August 13, 2014, 11:31:59 AM »

Yeah, that's the poll.

Reading their summary of regional margins, it's fun to figure out just where they were most wrong.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #11 on: August 14, 2014, 05:03:07 AM »

LOL, what a hilarious thread. Looks like that was an internal though.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #12 on: August 14, 2014, 09:53:07 PM »
Watch Corbett win handily. Lol
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #13 on: August 14, 2014, 10:09:40 PM »

Muh incumbency!
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