Cuomo v. Teachout

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It's unfortunate that there hasn't been any public polling that I'm aware of. There's obviously been private polling though and the Cuomo camp is clearly concerned about it.

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Cuomo is a strange creature.

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What about Credico? What'll be his percentage?

Maybe 3 or 4% if he's lucky.

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Cuomo actually said today that the only number that matters is 50%. Oof. Kinda like the only poll that matters is Election Day.

Wow, are his internals that bad?

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Cuomo actually said today that the only number that matters is 50%. Oof. Kinda like the only poll that matters is Election Day.

Wow, are his internals that bad?

https://twitter.com/eorden/status/506862415502655490

They're pulling out de Blasio to wax rhapsodic about conservadem Hochul tomorrow. Fun!

Poor Bill.

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I wonder what the average Cuomo/Wu voter is like (asian-american I guess). I also wonder what a Teachout/Hochul voter is like if such a thing even exists (it'd be female I suppose).

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anyway, I've got my hopes up for a LBJ vs. McCarthy type result for Gov in a super low turnout race, which Cuomo has only aided and abetted by refusing to try and saving his $ for the off-chance prez run (if such a thing is legal, then again, everything is these days) and a Wu win.  sure to be dashed by an 80-20 Cuomo win and a 2:1 Hochul win of course, which I'll get over within a drinking session.

Will you vote? Are you a registered Democrat these days?

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Atlas Forum should do a drinking game for the NY primary. Every time Teachout wins a county, take a shot.

I support this idea. Hopefully we'll be getting pretty hammered. Hopefully.

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I'm not really sure what to compare it to since we have absolutely no public polling to go on. The only thing we have to go on are the things the Cuomo camp says since they're of course polling privately. They seem concerned but they're clearly not in full-on crisis mode (at least not yet).

To be honest, I could see Teachout only getting 15% about as easily as I could see her getting 45%. That kind of makes it exciting in a way though.

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Don't be surprised see both Teachout and Wu underperform. Cuomo is pulling out all the stops in parts of the state with support from territorial/iconic elected officials, such as those in the Hasidic Jewish community that can pull in tens of thousands of votes. Such is the case with some of the Caribbean communities, where 1199 SEIU health care union has been pulling its strings for Cuomo and Hochul.

What would you consider an underperformance though?

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If Teachout somehow managed to narrowly win, how many pages would this thread gain in the 24 hours after the polls closed?

It'd have to be considered one of the biggest upsets in American political history.

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I wish PPP would poll this (and the LG race).

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Any chance that the NY Times or whoever will do an exit poll?

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Yeah, this whole Israel thing is making me wonder what Cuomo's tracking polls are showing. I'm guessing they don't like the trend.

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Endorsement:

That just popped up on Facebook feed as well - lol.

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I wish somebody would leak Cuomo's internal polling.

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Hillary Clinton is robocalling for Cuomo/Hochul

lol.

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The call mostly focuses on Hochul. I guess things aren't looking too good for her.

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The only thing that is interesting about it is that they felt the need to bother her at all.

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Paladino also cleaned up in western New York...

Anyway, I'm gonna make a bold prediction and say that Teachout carries Ulster county. She probably has a good shot in Dutchess (my county) too.

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Everyone is throwing around different numbers. Union organizer that's backing Cuomo says Hochul will pass 70. (I'm doubtful about that.) Only four days left!

http://www.nystateofpolitics.com/2014/09/cuomo-hochul-first-priority-for-1199seiu/

That reads like he's just pulling numbers out of his ass.

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Neither Cuomo nor Hochul will hit 70%, and I wouldn't be surprised if neither reaches 65%.

Yeah, cracking 60% should be Cuomo's goal. Hochul's goal should just be to win.

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Teachout was apparently in Poughkeepsie today. Probably should have went over and saw her.

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Teachout would easily beat the Republican if she somehow won the nomination, so there should be no worries about that.

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This is the most amazing thing I've ever seen

http://www.newyorktrue.com/labor-day-parade-2014/

The man is a disrespectful slimeball. Period.

Also I feel really, really bad for de Blasio. lol.