Predict winner/margin for Montana: Steve Daines vs Amanda Curtis

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Unfortunately, I don't see her faring too well in Montana in a year like this.

Better to lose with a real Democrat than a fake Democrat.

[smoltchanov]

Unfortunately, I don't see her faring too well in Montana in a year like this.

Better to lose with a real Democrat than a fake Democrat.

If that makes you happy - yes. But for me - almost any (with rarest exceptions) win is better that any loss (even with most respected and honorable candidate). If Joe Liberman would be the only Democrat able to win this - i would gladly support him. May be - even Zell Miller...))))

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Well if Curtis does manage to win she'll be the most attractive Senator by far (and also the youngest which is no doubt why.)

[KCDem]

Well if Curtis does manage to win she'll be the most attractive Senator by far (and also the youngest which is no doubt why.)

Kirsten Gillibrand would like a word.

[Maxwell]

Curtis sounds like a good candidate, but too much of a mainstream liberal to make it even that close.

54 Daines
43 Curtis

But I haven't seen any polling.

[zorkpolitics]

Curts seems to be both immature and to the far left:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=X98qmvI6Ntc

So I expect maybe
Daines 58
Curtis  40

[NHLiberal]

Well if Curtis does manage to win she'll be the most attractive Senator by far (and also the youngest which is no doubt why.)

Kirsten Gillibrand would like a word.

As would Alison Lundergan Grimes

[TDAS04]

Daines 53
Curtis 42

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Well if Curtis does manage to win she'll be the most attractive Senator by far (and also the youngest which is no doubt why.)

Kirsten Gillibrand would like a word.

As would Alison Lundergan Grimes

Gillibrand is the best looking current Senator, Grimes would be if she got elected and Curtis didn't, but Curtis is better looking than both.

[Absentee Voting Ghost of Ruin]

Amanda Curtis has balls of steel for going against Daines as a freshman state Rep, and with only 3 months to campaign no less. I have enormous respect for her, but barring an Akin-esque gaffe on Daine's part I don't see her winning, though I do believe it will be closer than current polling because of the Libertarian vote.

Daines 50%
Curtis 45%
Roots (L) 5%

Between his personal wealth and deep religious nuttery, it's entirely possible that Daines will stick his foot in his mouth. Barring that, I don't see how she wins. I think you're on the right track for vote spread though.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Montana Senate races always seem to be complete blowouts or have a razor thin margin of victory. This will probably be the former.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

Montana Senate races always seem to be complete blowouts or have a razor thin margin of victory. This will probably be the former.

1996? 2000? 2012? I wouldn't consider three to five points 'razor-thin'.

Daines however will almost certainly win by more than that. 53 or 54-42 or 43 seems about right at this point.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Montana Senate races always seem to be complete blowouts or have a razor thin margin of victory. This will probably be the former.

1996? 2000? 2012? I wouldn't consider three to five points 'razor-thin'.

Daines however will almost certainly win by more than that. 53 or 54-42 or 43 seems about right at this point.

Well... razor thin was an exaggeration. But they remain pretty tight. I interpret three to five points as fairly narrow.

[nolesfan2011]

Amanda Curtis has balls of steel for going against Daines as a freshman state Rep, and with only 3 months to campaign no less. I have enormous respect for her, but barring an Akin-esque gaffe on Daine's part I don't see her winning, though I do believe it will be closer than current polling because of the Libertarian vote.

Daines 50%
Curtis 45%
Roots (L) 5%

agree with this, thinking more like 52-43 though