Who wins control?

[backtored]

Republicans gain 9 seats, South Dakota, West Virginia, Montana, Louisiana, Arkansas, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa, and Alaska.

With Michigan, possibly a tenth, although I'm now leaning towards a Peters victory.

Lol

But I predict the Democrats retain the Senate, from 50-50 to 52-48

Hey considering the map, it's possible

At this point, it's probably even likely.  I could see a scenario where Braley, Udall, Begich, and Hagan all win, but I wouldn't be surprised if they all lose.  I might give Braley and Begich the smallest of advantages right now, but the national environment might be strong enough to wipe them out, too.

I can't wait until November.

[Miles]

FWIW, the Upshot has Republicans' chanes up to 61%.

And today its up to 67%.

[backtored]

The tipping is most likely NC, AK or IA. CO NH and MI would be next. Maybe they will win 11. Maybe they will win 3.

Gardner has been leading in roughly half of last six or seven polls taken in his race.  Brown has led in zero.  Land has led one--YouGov--and trailed by mid to high singe digits in most of the rest.  The truth is that Colorado is at least as likely to flip as Iowa, Alaska, and North Carolina, if not even more likely. 

The tipping point will likely fall somewhere between Colorado, Iowa, and North Carolina, although I think the GOP will have control of the chamber safely in hand long before December runoffs in LA and/or GA.

[Person Man]

The tipping is most likely NC, AK or IA. CO NH and MI would be next. Maybe they will win 11. Maybe they will win 3.

Gardner has been leading in roughly half of last six or seven polls taken in his race.  Brown has led in zero.  Land has led one--YouGov--and trailed by mid to high singe digits in most of the rest.  The truth is that Colorado is at least as likely to flip as Iowa, Alaska, and North Carolina, if not even more likely.  

The tipping point will likely fall somewhere between Colorado, Iowa, and North Carolina, although I think the GOP will have control of the chamber safely in hand long before December runoffs in LA and/or GA.

Most of those polls were push polls and the race hasn't been polled lately. You want your local party to be strong again. Maybe I'll agree with you once new polls show Gardner ahead in most polls that were not done by CoC.