Rank the top five most likely people to be elected POTUS in November 2016
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 16, 2024, 06:24:49 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Rank the top five most likely people to be elected POTUS in November 2016		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4
Author Topic: Rank the top five most likely people to be elected POTUS in November 2016  (Read 10767 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,073
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 20, 2014, 01:05:42 AM »
Haven't done this in a while…..

Who are your top five most likely people to go all the way and win the US presidency in November 2016?  (ranked list, from most likely, #1, second most likely #2, etc.)

I imagine that Hillary Clinton will be at #1 in almost everyone's list, but curious to see what it looks like after that.
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 20, 2014, 01:10:42 AM »
#1 Hillary
#2 Rand Paul
#3 Christie
#4 Jeb Bush
#5 Romney

#6 other Democrats like O'Malley, Cuomo, Warren, Warner & Gillibrand
Logged
BaconBacon96
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,678
Ireland, Republic of


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 20, 2014, 01:14:34 AM »
1. Hillary Clinton
2. Mike Pence
3. Scott Walker
4. Rand Paul
5. Joe Biden

Honorary mention Jeb Bush.
Logged
Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,613
Italy


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 20, 2014, 02:33:31 AM »
1. Hillary Clinton
2. Hillary Rodham Clinton
3. Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
4. Former Senator Hillary Clinton
5. Former FLOTUS Hillary Clinton

Tongue Tongue

Seriously...

1. Hillary Clinton
2. Scott Walker
3. Marco Rubio
4. Chris Christie
5. Andrew Cuomo
Logged
Unimog
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 453
Namibia


Political Matrix
E: -3.00, S: -2.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 20, 2014, 03:37:32 AM »
1. Jeb Bush
2. Hillary Clinton
3. Marco Rubio
4. Mitt Romney
5. The unknown Democrat
Logged
BlueSwan
blueswan
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,340
Denmark


Political Matrix
E: -4.26, S: -7.30

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 20, 2014, 06:36:20 AM »
1. Hillary Clinton
2. Chris Christie
3. Rand Paul
4. Jeb Bush
5. Scott Walker
Logged
dmmidmi
dmwestmi
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,095
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 20, 2014, 08:37:12 AM »
1. Hildog
.
.
.
2. Marco Rubio
3. Chris Christie
4. Rand Paul
.
.
.
5. Diamond Joe
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 20, 2014, 08:50:48 AM »
1. Hillary Clinton
2. Rand Paul
3. Scott Walker
4. Elizabeth Warren
5. Joe Biden
Logged
daveosupremo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 468
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.32, S: -2.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 20, 2014, 09:39:07 AM »
It's hard to say at this point, because the guy who I see as the strongest candidate on either side, Scott Walker, may not win reelection this year. Also, I don't think Hillary is going to run, though if she does, she of course keeps the strongest Democrat alternatives out of the race.

Taking all that into account:
1. Rand Paul
2. Scott Walker
3. Hillary Clinton
4. Ted Cruz
5. Andrew Cuomo

Honorable mentions:
Marco Rubio
Rick Perry
Logged
Del Tachi
Republican95
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,810
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.52, S: 1.46

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 20, 2014, 09:48:16 AM »
1.  Hillary Clinton
2.  Chris Christie
3.  Joe Biden
4.  Rand Paul
5.  Jeb Bush
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 20, 2014, 10:13:43 AM »
1) Bernie
2) Warren
3) Schweitzer
4) Kucinich
5) McKinney

The neoliberal corporatist warmonger obviously has no chance of winning a primary. Oh, and Republicans are obviously extinct, get with the times.

(My real list)

1) Hillary
2) Walker
3) Paul
4) Bush
5) Christie
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 20, 2014, 10:17:54 AM »
1. Hillary Clinton
2. Rand Paul
3. Joe Biden
4. Mike Pence
5. Jeb Bush

Honorable mentions: 6. Scott Walker 7. John Thune 8. Martin O'Malley 9. Rob Portman 10. Tim Pawlenty
Logged
solarstorm
solarstorm2012
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,637
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 20, 2014, 10:18:29 AM »
#1 Clinton
#2 Schweitzer
#3 Warren
#4 Christie
#5 Huntsman
Logged
Rockefeller GOP
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,936
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 20, 2014, 11:12:07 AM »
Assuming all hypothetically run (and ignoring potential overlapping in primary support):

1) Clinton
2) Christie
3) Paul
4) Schweitzer
5) Bush
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 20, 2014, 11:16:02 AM »
If Clinton runs:

1. Hildog
2. Rand Paul
3. Jeb
4. Chris Christie
5. Scott Walker

If Clinton doesn't run:

1. Jeb
2. Gillibrand
3. Rand Paul
4. Biden
5. Chris Christie
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 20, 2014, 11:47:13 AM »
Quote from: Castro2020 on August 20, 2014, 11:16:02 AM
If Clinton runs:

1. Hildog
2. Rand Paul
3. Jeb
4. Chris Christie
5. Scott Walker

If Clinton doesn't run:

1. Jeb
2. Gillibrand
3. Rand Paul
4. Biden
5. Chris Christie
Logged
SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,295
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 20, 2014, 11:49:56 AM »
Hillary, Biden, Jeb, Walker, and Gillibrand, in no particular order.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 20, 2014, 12:12:29 PM »
H. Clinton
Christie
J. Bush
Rubio
Rand Paul
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,916


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 20, 2014, 12:15:15 PM »
1. Clinton
2. Rick Perry
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 20, 2014, 12:17:37 PM »
1. Hillary Clinton
2. Scott Walker
3. Rand Paul
4. Jeb Bush
5. Chris Christie
Logged
Bull Moose Base
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,488


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 20, 2014, 01:03:30 PM »
Hillary is 10 times as likely as anyone else to be elected president:

She's almost 100% to be the Democratic nominee.
No Republican is much higher than 10% to be the nominee.
The Democratic nominee is about 60% to win the general.
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 20, 2014, 01:49:31 PM »
Quote from: Bull Moose Base on August 20, 2014, 01:03:30 PM
Hillary is 10 times as likely as anyone else to be elected president:

She's almost 100% to be the Democratic nominee.
No Republican is much higher than 10% to be the nominee.
The Democratic nominee is about 60% to win the general.

I'd change the numbers to 70/20/65, but you have the right general idea.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 20, 2014, 01:54:12 PM »
Quote from: © tweed on August 20, 2014, 01:49:31 PM
Quote from: Bull Moose Base on August 20, 2014, 01:03:30 PM
Hillary is 10 times as likely as anyone else to be elected president:

She's almost 100% to be the Democratic nominee.
No Republican is much higher than 10% to be the nominee.
The Democratic nominee is about 60% to win the general.

I'd change the numbers to 70/20/65, but you have the right general idea.

Is the 70 factoring in the fact that she may not run?
Logged
© tweed
Miamiu1027
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,562
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: August 20, 2014, 01:56:39 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on August 20, 2014, 01:54:12 PM
Quote from: © tweed on August 20, 2014, 01:49:31 PM
Quote from: Bull Moose Base on August 20, 2014, 01:03:30 PM
Hillary is 10 times as likely as anyone else to be elected president:

She's almost 100% to be the Democratic nominee.
No Republican is much higher than 10% to be the nominee.
The Democratic nominee is about 60% to win the general.

I'd change the numbers to 70/20/65, but you have the right general idea.

Is the 70 factoring in the fact that she may not run?

yeah, but I wouldn't put that number much higher than 5-10%
Logged
Brewer
BrewerPaul
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,622


Political Matrix
E: -6.90, S: -6.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: August 20, 2014, 01:57:20 PM »
1) Hillary Clinton
2) Rand Paul
3) Chris Christie
4) Jeb Bush
5) Martin O'Malley
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.055 seconds with 13 queries.