Libertarian candidates for U.S. Senate

[solarstorm]

Who will be the 5 most successful Libertarian senatorial candidates?

[Vega]

The fact that I've only heard of one of these candidates (Sarvis), tells me that none of them will do all that well.

[ElectionsGuy]

Walker, Patterson, Haugh, Sarvis, and Paddock.

[Miles]

Haugh has gotten a lot of attention.

[solarstorm]

I looked up where Libertarian senatorial candidates fared best:

2012:

Montana
Missouri
Indiana → Richard Mourdock effect
Arizona
Wisconsin
2010:

Indiana
Arizona
Missouri
Georgia
Illinois
2008:

Georgia → runoff effect
Massachusetts
North Carolina
New Hampshire
Texas
2006:

Indiana → no Democratic candidate
Arizona
Montana
Texas
Missouri
2004:

Arizona
Georgia
Kansas
California
Oregon

[King]

The ones where Dems/Reps didn't run anybody.

[solarstorm]

Haugh has gotten a lot of attention.

Why?

[Miles]

Haugh has gotten a lot of attention.

Why?

Because he could keep the Senate in Democratic control by helping Hagan squeak by. Neither Hagan or Tillis are popular, so he's become relatively viable.

[NHLiberal]

Walker's running as an independent, not a lib. In any case, Walker, Sarvis, and Haugh; not sure about the other 2. Election Guy's picks make sense.

[solarstorm]

Walker's running as an independent, not a lib.

Source?
According to The Green Papers he's running as a Lib.

[NHLiberal]

Walker's running as an independent, not a lib.

Source?
According to The Green Papers he's running as a Lib.

Well, his campaign website is a good start... http://www.walkerforalaska.com/why-im-running/

[solarstorm]

Walker's running as an independent, not a lib.

Source?
According to The Green Papers he's running as a Lib.

Well, his campaign website is a good start... http://www.walkerforalaska.com/why-im-running/

Ah, I see.

Try to find the mistake on your own. In case you don't find it, I'll help you.
Hint: Which board is this?

[LeBron]

Haugh (NC) is the obvious one b/c of Tillis and Sarvis (VA) has shown he can perform well when Republicans put up someone weak or flat-out terrible. Patterson (KY), Batson (KS) and Roots (MT) I also see performing pretty well. Libertarians naturally do well in Montana and there will be some KY and KS voters who like MO 2012 won't cast a vote for McConnell or Roberts, but won't cast a vote for the Democrat either (though Kansas's Libertarian might be offset by Orman's overwhelming support).

It should be interesting to see how the Arkansas Libertarian fares this year. Even though Lincoln is considered worse than Pryor, Cotton is worse than Boozman, so LaFrance just might do better than 2010's performance (3%), but nothing remarkable.

For those saying Alaska's Libertarian will do well, look at the past Senate races (2010, 2008, 2004), which show the Libertarian gaining less than 1%. While AK is a very libertarian state, the Alaskan Independence Party usually takes a sizable chunk of the Libertarian vote.

[NHLiberal]

Walker's running as an independent, not a lib.

Source?
According to The Green Papers he's running as a Lib.

Well, his campaign website is a good start... http://www.walkerforalaska.com/why-im-running/

Ah, I see.

Try to find the mistake on your own. In case you don't find it, I'll help you.
Hint: Which board is this?

Whoops. Pretty weird that the Libertarian candidates for Senate and Governor are both named Walker.

[solarstorm]

Walker's running as an independent, not a lib.

Source?
According to The Green Papers he's running as a Lib.

Well, his campaign website is a good start... http://www.walkerforalaska.com/why-im-running/

Ah, I see.

Try to find the mistake on your own. In case you don't find it, I'll help you.
Hint: Which board is this?

Whoops. Pretty weird that the Libertarian candidates for Senate and Governor are both named Walker.

I agree. There are many namesake in this election cycle.
There are two Dan Sullivan's in Alaska, two Burke's in Wisconsin...

[solarstorm]

Kansas Illinois North Carolina Alaska Kentucky

Randall Batson Sharon Hansen Sean Haugh Thom Walker David Patterson

4.26% 3.84% 3.74% 3.70% 3.08%

Funnily, most users (including me) thought that Robert Sarvis (L-VA) would be the most successful Libertarian candidate this cycle, but he in fact he fell short of expectations.

Also Sean High Haugh underperformed.

The Libertarians in Illinois, who also did quite well in the gubernatorial election, seem to be underestimated.

[RI]

Walker's running as an independent, not a lib.

Source?
According to The Green Papers he's running as a Lib.

Well, his campaign website is a good start... http://www.walkerforalaska.com/why-im-running/

Ah, I see.

Try to find the mistake on your own. In case you don't find it, I'll help you.
Hint: Which board is this?

Whoops. Pretty weird that the Libertarian candidates for Senate and Governor are both named Walker.

lol at the Libertarian candidate for Governor in AK being Walker; he's anything but. That would be Clift.

[Skill and Chance]

Kansas Illinois North Carolina Alaska Kentucky

Randall Batson Sharon Hansen Sean Haugh Thom Walker David Patterson

4.26% 3.84% 3.74% 3.70% 3.08%

Funnily, most users (including me) thought that Robert Sarvis (L-VA) would be the most successful Libertarian candidate this cycle, but he in fact he fell short of expectations.

Also Sean High Haugh underperformed.

The Libertarians in Illinois, who also did quite well in the gubernatorial election, seem to be underestimated.

Sarvis had the perfect storm of machine crony D vs. social issue nut R in 2013.  This year, he had businessman D vs. establishment social moderate R.