NY-Quinnipiac: Clinton & Cuomo lead Bush, Christie, & Paul by double digits

[Mr. Morden]

Quinnipiac poll of New York:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2072

Clinton 60%
Bush 29%

Clinton 61%
Paul 30%

Clinton 54%
Christie 34%

Cuomo 53%
Bush 30%

Cuomo 55%
Paul 31%

Cuomo 47%
Christie 37%

[Mr. Morden]

fav/unfav %

Clinton 62/34% for +28%
Cuomo 55/36% for +19%
Christie 46/39% for +7%
Paul 31/37% for -6%
Bush 31/44% for -13%

[Knives]

I have a feeling that come election day Clinton regardless of opponent will be get 70%+

[IceSpear]

Obama probably hit close to the Dem ceiling in NY, but Hillary could do a couple points better due to the home state bonus.

[KCDem]

I have a feeling that come election day Clinton regardless of opponent will be get 70%+

HAHAHAHA...no

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Obama probably hit close to the Dem ceiling in NY, but Hillary could do a couple points better due to the home state bonus.

This is probably the dem ceiling in NY: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_York,_2012

Assuming Christie isn't the nominee (in which case Hillary will likely be held below 60%), it'll be  interesting to see how close Hillary comes to hitting said ceiling on election day.

[SWE]

I have a feeling that come election day Clinton regardless of opponent will be get 70%+

HAHAHAHA...no

[henster]

I have a feeling that come election day Clinton regardless of opponent will be get 70%+

HAHAHAHA...no

Well Gillibrand did it in 2012 and it's not really hard just do well Upstate and do just as well as Obama did downstate and in the city.

[eric82oslo]

Obama probably hit close to the Dem ceiling in NY, but Hillary could do a couple points better due to the home state bonus.

This is probably the dem ceiling in NY: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_York,_2012

I think Gillibrand can reach 75% next time. After all she did lose two counties.

[KCDem]

I have a feeling that come election day Clinton regardless of opponent will be get 70%+

HAHAHAHA...no

Gillibrand's 2012 and Schumer's 2004 numbers north of 70% were a result of little-known opponents and incumbents that were extremely popular. After a national campaign, Hillary would MAYBE hit 65%, but I doubt she would cross 70% even if she were running against Cruz.

[pbrower2a]

I have a feeling that come election day Clinton regardless of opponent will be get 70%+

HAHAHAHA...no

Gillibrand's 2012 and Schumer's 2004 numbers north of 70% were a result of little-known opponents and incumbents that were extremely popular. After a national campaign, Hillary would MAYBE hit 65%, but I doubt she would cross 70% even if she were running against Cruz.

Ted Cruz would be such a bad match for New York that he could lose New York 75-25 while losing the Boroughs altogether by 85-15. Christian fundamentalist in New York State? He would have trouble in any state with a large Catholic population.

Matchups that I have seen involving Ted Cruz against Hillary Clinton suggest an LBJ-scale blowout.