How will Governors up for re-election perform relative to their '10/'12 margin?
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  How will Governors up for re-election perform relative to their '10/'12 margin?
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Poll
Question: Under perform or over perform?
#1
AL: Bentley will over perform (15.7%)
 
#2
AL: Bentley will under perform (15.7%)
 
#3
AK: Parnell will over perform (21.4%)
 
#4
AK: Parnell will under perform (21.4%)
 
#5
CA: Brown will over perform (12.9%)
 
#6
CA: Brown will under perform (12.9%)
 
#7
CO: Hickenlooper will over perform (14.7%)
 
#8
CO: Hickenlooper will under perform (14.7%)
 
#9
CT: Malloy will over perform (0.5%)
 
#10
CT: Malloy will under perform (0.5%)
 
#11
FL: Scott will over perform (1.2%)
 
#12
FL: Scott will under perform (1.2%)
 
#13
GA: Deal will over perform (10.0%)
 
#14
GA: Deal will under perform (10.0%)
 
#15
ID: Otter will over perform (26.2%)
 
#16
ID: Otter will under perform (26.2%)
 
#17
IL: Quinn will over perform (0.9%)
 
#18
IL: Quinn will under perform (0.9%)
 
#19
IA: Branstad will over perform (9.6%)
 
#20
IA: Branstad will under perform (9.6%)
 
#21
KS: Brownback will over perform (31.1%)
 
#22
Brownback will under perform (31.1%)
 
#23
ME: LePage will over perform (1.7%)
 
#24
ME: LePage will under perform (1.7%)
 
#25
MI: Snyder will over perform (18.2%)
 
#26
MI: Snyder will under perform (18.2%)
 
#27
MN: Dayton will over perform (0.4%)
 
#28
MN: Dayton will under perform (0.4%)
 
#29
NV: Sandoval will over perform (11.8%)
 
#30
NV: Sandoval will under perform (11.8%)
 
#31
NH: Hassan will over perform (12.1%)
 
#32
NH: Hassan will under perform (12.1%)
 
#33
NM: Martinez will over perform (6.8%)
 
#34
NM: Martinez will under perform (6.8%)
 
#35
NY: Cuomo will over perform (29.3%)
 
#36
NY: Cuomo will under perform (29.3%)
 
#37
OH: Kasich will over perform (2.0%)
 
#38
OH: Kasich will under perform (2.0%)
 
#39
OK: Fallin will over perform (20.8%)
 
#40
OK: Fallin will under perform (20.8%)
 
#41
OR: Kitzhaber will over perform (1.5%)
 
#42
OR: Kitzhaber will under perform (1.5%)
 
#43
PA: Corbett will over perform (9.0%)
 
#44
PA: Corbett will under perform (9.0%)
 
#45
SC: Haley will over perform (4.5%)
 
#46
SC: Haley will under perform (4.5%)
 
#47
SD: Daugaard will over perform (23.0%)
 
#48
SD: Daugaard will under perform (23.0%)
 
#49
TN: Haslam will over perform (31.9%)
 
#50
TN: Haslam will under perform (31.9%)
 
#51
VT: Shumlin will over perform (20.2%)
 
#52
VT: Shumlin will under perform (20.2%)
 
#53
WI: Walker will over perform (5.7%*)
 
#54
WI: Walker will under perform (5.7%*)
 
#55
WY: Mead will over perform (42.8%)
 
#56
WY: Mead will under perform (42.8%)
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 21

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: How will Governors up for re-election perform relative to their '10/'12 margin?  (Read 560 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
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Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: August 21, 2014, 07:52:43 AM »

* 2010 election, not the recall.

I thought NHLiberal had a good idea of making a thread about incumbent senators on whether or not they would under or over perform their previous margins. I decided to do that same thing will governors. New Hampshire and Vermont were taken from 2012 since they elect governors every 2 years. All margins were rounded to the tenth. Here are my answers...

Bentley: Over perform
Parnell: Over perform
Brown: Over perform
Hickenlooper: Under perform
Malloy: Over perform
Scott: Under perform
Deal: Under perform
Otter: Over perform
Quinn: Under perform
Branstad: Over perform
Brownback: Under perform (duh)
LePage: Under perform
Snyder: Under perform (duh)
Dayton: Over perform (duh)
Sandoval: Over perform
Hassan: Over perform
Martinez: Over perform
Cuomo: Over perform
Kasich: Over perform
Fallin: Under perform
Kitzhaber: Over perform (duh)
Corbett: Under perform (duh)
Haley: Over perform
Daugaard: Over perform
Haslam: Under perform
Shumlin: Over perform
Walker: Under perform
Mead: Over perform

Parnell, Scott, Malloy, Cuomo, Martinez, Mead, Haslam, and Branstad I think will perform very similar to their 2010 results, so those were the toughest to decide for me.
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ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
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Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« Reply #1 on: August 21, 2014, 11:29:48 PM »

Nobody cares? Sad
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rbt48
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,060


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« Reply #2 on: August 22, 2014, 10:19:03 PM »

(duh( for Hickenlooper as well.
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Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,688
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« Reply #3 on: August 24, 2014, 02:06:44 PM »

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