Realistically, could anyone beat Hillary in a primary? (user search)
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  Realistically, could anyone beat Hillary in a primary? (search mode)
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Question: Well?
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Yes
 
#2
No
 
#3
Not sure
 
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Total Voters: 84

Author Topic: Realistically, could anyone beat Hillary in a primary?  (Read 5264 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
United States


« on: August 29, 2014, 12:42:34 AM »

At the very least, I expect that a protest candidate of marginal status will enter the race and do fairly well in the Iowa caucuses (20-30%). In the end, she may win Iowa by less than 50-60%.

Well sure, if Sanders challenges her, then her margin of victory in either Iowa or New Hampshire being less than 50 points seems like a good bet.  Sanders would air criticism of her from the left that most Democratic voters haven't been exposed to yet because they're not paying attention to the race.  So I don't think he'd remain stuck at 2% by any means.  There'll be *some* traction for his message in the party, so getting something like 25% or more in one of the early states is very doable.
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