Who will win these House races (part 2)?

[NHLiberal]

Here are some more hotly contested House races, most of which are either ranked "toss-up," "Lean D," or "Lean R" by all the major ratings. Who do you think will win each of these races?

FL-02: Steve Southerland (R), first elected in 2010, is seeking reelection to this R+6 seat.
His opponent is Gwen Graham, an attorney and the daughter of former Senator Bob Graham.

NH-01: Carol Shea-Porter (D), first elected in 2012 after serving from 2007-2011, is seeking reelection to this EVEN seat.
Her likely opponent is Frank Guinta, who held the seat from 2011-2013.

AR-02: Tim Griffin (R), first elected in 2010, is retiring from this R+8 seat to run for Lieutenant Governor.
Vying to succeed Griffin are former Little Rock Mayor Pat Hays (D) and businessman French Hill (R).

WV-02: Shelley Moore Capito (R), first elected in 2000, is retiring from this R+11 seat to run for Senate.
Vying to succeed Capito are former WV Democratic Party Chairman Nick Casey and MD Republican Party Chairman Alex Mooney.

WV-03: Nick Rahall (D), first elected in 1992, is seeking reelection to this R+14 seat.
His opponent is State Senator Evan Jenkins.

VA-10: Frank Wolf (R), first elected in 1980, is retiring from this R+2 seat.
Vying to succeed Wolf are Fairfax County Supervisor John Foust (D) and Delegate Barbara Comstock (R).

[Del Tachi]

Southerland, Shea-Porter, Hill, Mooney, Rahall and Comstock. 

[Maxwell]

Southerland, Shea-Porter, Hill, Mooney, Jenkins, Comstock

[IceSpear]

Southerland, Shea-Porter, Hays, Mooney, Rahall, Comstock. 

[Never]

Southerland, Shea-Porter, Hill, Mooney, Rahall and Comstock. 

[JerryArkansas]

Graham and Hays.  Also Hays was mayor of North Little Rock, not Little Rock.

[Suburbia]

Southerland, Shea-Porter, Hill, Mooney, Jenkins, Comstock.

[Vega]

Republican sweep except for NH-1 and FL-2.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Graham, Shea-Porter, Mooney, Rahall, Hays, Comstock

[SWE]

Southerland, Shea-Porter, Hill, Mooney, Jenkins, Comstock

[ElectionsGuy]

FL-2: Steve Southerland (R)
NH-1: Shea-Porter (D)
AR-2: French Hill (R)
WV-2: Alex Mooney (R)
WV-3: Evan Jenkins (R)
VA-10: Barbara Comstock (R)

[Miles]

FL-02: Gun to my head Southerland, though Graham is one of my favorite candidates this cycle. Graham can very easily get to 47-48%, but that extra 2-3% is the killer. She's outraised Southerland, so that should help her close that gap.
NH-01: Shea-Porter just because Guinta isn't a very likeable or exciting candidate.
AR-02: Hays, because Pryor should at least carry this district.
WV-02: Casey would have easily won 6-10 years ago, but I think Mooney gets a pass on carpetbagging because of nationalization.
WV-03: 'Gonna say Rahall hangs on, as he's kicked his campaign into a higher geer and thats just kinda what my gut tells me.
VA-10: Comstock. The district is trending the right way for Democrats, but not this year.

[Badger]

Why so much certainty for Comstock in a district that's only +2 R?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Why so much certainty for Comstock in a district that's only +2 R?

Gut sense (same reason I am pretty confident Rahall will win).

[Miles]

Why so much certainty for Comstock in a district that's only +2 R?

Gut feeling plus it tends to be more R downballot; Allen was within a point of Kaine there and Cuccinelli carried it.

[Never]

Why so much certainty for Comstock in a district that's only +2 R?

Gut feeling plus it tends to be more R downballot; Allen was within a point of Kaine there and Cuccinelli carried it.

Exactly, and she seems to be a Republican in the mold of current congressman Frank Wolf. She should appeal well to VA-10.

[LeBron]

Why so much certainty for Comstock in a district that's only +2 R?

Gut feeling plus it tends to be more R downballot; Allen was within a point of Kaine there and Cuccinelli carried it.

Exactly, and she seems to be a Republican in the mold of current congressman Frank Wolf. She should appeal well to VA-10.

Totally agree with all of this, but Foust would be favored had Marshall won the GOP nomination. He's the Tea Party, "rape abortion is a sin!" firebrand guy who came in 2nd against Comstock.

FL-2  - I'm unsure on this one, but my gut tells me Graham b/c money and a very strong, likeable candidate.

NH-1 - Shea-Porter. Guinta's just too conservative and he can't expect another 2010 wave this year. It's only an even district, to, so yeah.

AR-2 - Hill. The district has been trending Republican at the Presidential level plus Hill isn't all that bad. He's an establishment-backed guy whose raised and spent tons of money so far. Pryor will win the district, but I don't think Hays can.

WV-2 - Probably Mooney. We're fully aware that strong Democratic candidates (Manchin) can win in West Virginia when the GOP there nominates awful candidates (Raese), but it's too late in the game for a Democrat to win an open federal seat here.

WV-3 - I'm tilting towards Rahall. He won by a reasonably comfortable margin in 2012 and he does a good job competing with the surge of ads and staying friendly with the coal community.