Who would have the best shot at IA?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 06:13:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Who would have the best shot at IA?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which potential GOP candidate would have the best shot at picking up IA?
#1
Paul		  
#2
Christie		  
#3
Bush		  
#4
Cruz		  
#5
Walker		  
#6
Carson		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 47

Author Topic: Who would have the best shot at IA?  (Read 994 times)
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,634
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: August 23, 2014, 10:29:22 AM »
Hillary seems relatively weak there, but this goes for any potential match-up. Which potential GOP candidate would have the best shot at picking up IA in the general election? I'd go with Walker, a Midwestern Governor should do well there, and as far as I know there's no strong union presence in the state.
Logged
Horus
Sheliak5
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,720
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2014, 10:34:46 AM »
Agreed, definitely Walker.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2014, 10:45:13 AM »
Logged
MATTROSE94
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,803
Ukraine


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -6.43

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2014, 10:50:51 AM »
Logged
daveosupremo
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 468
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.32, S: -2.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2014, 11:47:24 AM »
Paul or Walker. In a vacuum Walker certainly has the advantage, but if certain other potential candidates run, Huckabee for example, enough votes could be drawn from Walker to give Paul the edge.
Logged
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,048


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2014, 11:59:42 AM »
Bush or Walker. Jeb's brother remains the only GOPer to have won Iowa in the past 30 years, and Walker is from a neighboring, bluer state.
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2014, 12:06:06 PM »
Probably Cruz, Paul and Carson would do well.
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2014, 11:30:25 PM »
Quote from: Vega on August 23, 2014, 12:06:06 PM
Probably Cruz, Paul and Carson would do well.

I could see those three doing well in Iowa's caucuses, but in the general election, I don't see how Cruz or Carson would have good chances of picking up the state.
Logged
eric82oslo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,501
Norway


Political Matrix
E: -6.00, S: -5.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: August 24, 2014, 06:06:32 AM »
Probably Carson, without a doubt. He's the only one of them with an IQ excelling 130. Jeb Bush might be about 130-135, the others are not all that smart.
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,243
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: August 24, 2014, 06:30:40 PM »
Does Paul oppose farm subsidies?
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: August 24, 2014, 06:42:06 PM »

It appears that he wants them curtailed.
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,243
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: August 24, 2014, 06:48:11 PM »

So does that mean he's dead in Iowa? Does the farmer lobby still call the shots?
Logged
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: August 24, 2014, 07:24:23 PM »

While I wouldn't say he's dead on arrival, it is is a hit against him. I don't think he would win as many votes as Walker, but even in Iowa, people are probably going to place more focus on issues other than subsidies.

Although the early polling of the 2016 election is not the most useful tool this far out, it can provide some benefit. The most recent poll I found from Iowa (NBC News/Marist) indicates that Paul does the best out of all Republicans against Clinton in the state, reaching a tie while all other Republicans lagged behind Clinton by a few points (on a side note, Clinton led Walker 50-37 in this poll, but I still think that if he were pitted against Clinton in 2016, he would do better than that).
Logged
henster
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,985


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: August 24, 2014, 07:31:10 PM »
Paul voted against the Farm Bill as well I don't think he's electable there at all.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: August 24, 2014, 07:44:50 PM »
Logged
nolesfan2011
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,411
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.68, S: -7.48

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: August 24, 2014, 07:47:55 PM »
Quote from: daveosupremo on August 23, 2014, 11:47:24 AM
Paul or Walker. In a vacuum Walker certainly has the advantage, but if certain other potential candidates run, Huckabee for example, enough votes could be drawn from Walker to give Paul the edge.

This
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: August 24, 2014, 08:36:29 PM »
Quote from: Never on August 23, 2014, 11:30:25 PM
Quote from: Vega on August 23, 2014, 12:06:06 PM
Probably Cruz, Paul and Carson would do well.

I could see those three doing well in Iowa's caucuses, but in the general election, I don't see how Cruz or Carson would have good chances of picking up the state.

Yeah, I thought this was talking about who would have the best shot at the caucuses. I probably should have deleted my post. But oh well.

As to who could win it in the General, probably Paul and Walker.
Logged
TDAS04
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 23,525
Bhutan


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: August 24, 2014, 08:40:52 PM »
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: August 25, 2014, 01:23:52 PM »
Quote from: henster on August 24, 2014, 07:31:10 PM
Paul voted against the Farm Bill as well I don't think he's electable there at all.

So did Ron Paul but he got a strong showing and even lead in the polls in the state for a while.

But Walker has the ability to win Iowa if he wins re-election. If not, Paul is the favorite even with his views on farm subsidies, probably because the pro-farm candidates will be split amongst everyone else.
Logged
Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,634
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: August 25, 2014, 02:55:30 PM »
This is a thread about the general election, you foolish men.
Logged
MurrayBannerman
murraybannerman
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 756


Political Matrix
E: 5.55, S: -2.09

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: August 25, 2014, 03:12:01 PM »
Quote from: daveosupremo on August 23, 2014, 11:47:24 AM
Paul or Walker. In a vacuum Walker certainly has the advantage, but if certain other potential candidates run, Huckabee for example, enough votes could be drawn from Walker to give Paul the edge.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: August 25, 2014, 03:14:15 PM »
Quote from: ShadowOfTheWave on August 25, 2014, 02:55:30 PM
This is a thread about the general election, you foolish men.

Then Walker by a long shot.
Logged
Cory
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,708


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: August 25, 2014, 05:16:09 PM »
Quote from: IDS Legislator Maxwell on August 25, 2014, 03:14:15 PM
Quote from: ShadowOfTheWave on August 25, 2014, 02:55:30 PM
This is a thread about the general election, you foolish men.

Then Walker by a long shot.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 15 queries.