The surprises of the Gubernatorial elections...

[Senator Cris]

Well?
What will be the surprises of the Gubernatorial elections?

[JRP1994]

*fingers crossed for a Carter upset*

[Free Bird]

LePage wins
Foley wins by a respectable margin
Hassan only squeaks by

[NHLiberal]

• Foley wins by 5-10 points
• MA-Gov is within 3 points either way
• Brownback, Snyder, Walker, & Deal all lose by more than 2 points

[Mr. Illini]

Mary Burke pulls it off in Wisconsin

[Dixie Reborn]

-Mike Ross wins by 5+ points in Arkansas
-Sean Parnell loses
-Parker Griffith gets more than 40% in Alabama
-Coakley loses (wouldn't actually be a surprise)

[Maxwell]

- Scott wins by more than 3
- Foley wins by mid to high single digits
- Corbett barely loses
- Paul Davis wins by double digits.

[Vega]

Corbett get's 45-47% of the vote.

Jason Carter wins.

[Badger]

- Scott wins by more than 3
- Foley wins by mid to high single digits
- Corbett barely loses
- Paul Davis wins by double digits.

Those would all indeed be surprises. Foley and Scott being the least unlikely, relatively speaking.

[TDAS04]

-LePage pulls an upset. 
-Brownback wins by more than 5 points. 
-Nikki Haley hangs on by the skin of her teeth. 
-Gary King comes very close. 
-Crist wins by over 3 points.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Don't expect many of these to happen, but just for fun:

Sandoval will break 55% in Clark County
Otter (R-ID) will come within 10 points of winning Blaine County
Dayton (D-MN) will win by less than five points
Snyder will break 40% in Detroit
Kasich will break 40% in Cuyahoga County
Corbett will break 20% in Philadelphia County

[ElectionsGuy]

Not that these are likely or anything, but I'll put a few out there:

Rauner wins by 5+ points.
Ricketts wins by less than 15 points.
Corbett loses by less than 10 points.
Charlie Baker hits mid-40's in MA-Gov.

Don't expect many of these to happen, but just for fun:

Sandoval will break 55% in Clark County
Otter (R-ID) will come within 10 points of winning Blaine County
Dayton (D-MN) will win by less than five points
Snyder will break 40% in Detroit
Kasich will break 40% in Cuyahoga County
Corbett will break 20% in Philadelphia County

Haha, Synder will be lucky to get 5% in Detroit. If you're talking about Wayne County that's a different story.

[Keystone Phil]

Don't expect many of these to happen, but just for fun:

Corbett will break 20% in Philadelphia County

He'd be easily re-elected if that happened...

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Not that these are likely or anything, but I'll put a few out there:

Rauner wins by 5+ points.
Ricketts wins by less than 15 points.
Corbett loses by less than 10 points.
Charlie Baker hits mid-40's in MA-Gov.

Don't expect many of these to happen, but just for fun:

Sandoval will break 55% in Clark County
Otter (R-ID) will come within 10 points of winning Blaine County
Dayton (D-MN) will win by less than five points
Snyder will break 40% in Detroit
Kasich will break 40% in Cuyahoga County
Corbett will break 20% in Philadelphia County

Haha, Synder will be lucky to get 5% in Detroit. If you're talking about Wayne County that's a different story.

Wayne county is what I meant, which is basically the Detroit area.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Don't expect many of these to happen, but just for fun:

Corbett will break 20% in Philadelphia County

He'd be easily re-elected if that happened...

Depending on western (Pittsburgh area) and
Philadelphia suburb results, maybe not. Per cnn's 2006 election center, even Santorum hit 16 percent in Philladelphia county while losing statewide by 18.

[Kushahontas]

• Foley wins by 5-10 points
• MA-Gov is within 3 points either way
• Brownback, Snyder, Walker, & Deal all lose by more than 2 points

I hope you're right

[NHLiberal]

Not that these are likely or anything, but I'll put a few out there:

Rauner wins by 5+ points.
Ricketts wins by less than 15 points.
Corbett loses by less than 10 points.
Charlie Baker hits mid-40's in MA-Gov.

All three of these seem very likely

[Keystone Phil]

Don't expect many of these to happen, but just for fun:

Corbett will break 20% in Philadelphia County

He'd be easily re-elected if that happened...

Depending on western (Pittsburgh area) and
Philadelphia suburb results, maybe not. Per cnn's 2006 election center, even Santorum hit 16 percent in Philladelphia county while losing statewide by 18.

And there's a big difference here between getting 16% and 20%. If he's finding that additional 4% in Philly, there's no way he'd be struggling enough in the area of the state that is trending more conservative/is his home base to lose the election. As for the Philly suburbs, they might not be trending conservative or are Corbett's home turf but there's no reason that Corbett would expand on recent GOP showings in Philly (especially with the education issue unquestionably being his biggest weakness) but get swamped in the suburbs.

[nolesfan2011]

Things I could feasibly see happening, Haley loses in SC, Kashkari does better than expected in CA, Mike Ross pulls it out in AR, Foley wins comfortably in CT, Davis wins somewhat comfortably in KS, Carter wins in GA, Ige wins by a sizeable margin in HI, Cutler wins in ME, Hassebrook (D) upsets Ricketts (R) in Nebraska, Burke wins in WI (doesn't seem like that big of a stretch)

[pbrower2a]

Brownback, Scott,  Snyder, and Walker lose.

[nolesfan2011]

-Mike Ross wins by 5+ points in Arkansas
-Sean Parnell loses
-Parker Griffith gets more than 40% in Alabama
-Coakley loses (wouldn't actually be a surprise)

why do you think Griffith would get over 40%? that's really a hail mary prediction

[Vega]

-Mike Ross wins by 5+ points in Arkansas
-Sean Parnell loses
-Parker Griffith gets more than 40% in Alabama
-Coakley loses (wouldn't actually be a surprise)

why do you think Griffith would get over 40%? that's really a hail mary prediction

It'd be a really big surprise, which is what the thread is about.

[SWE]

Peter Shumlin will lose reelection

[IceSpear]

Don't expect many of these to happen, but just for fun:

Corbett will break 20% in Philadelphia County

He'd be easily re-elected if that happened...

Depending on western (Pittsburgh area) and
Philadelphia suburb results, maybe not. Per cnn's 2006 election center, even Santorum hit 16 percent in Philladelphia county while losing statewide by 18.

And there's a big difference here between getting 16% and 20%. If he's finding that additional 4% in Philly, there's no way he'd be struggling enough in the area of the state that is trending more conservative/is his home base to lose the election. As for the Philly suburbs, they might not be trending conservative or are Corbett's home turf but there's no reason that Corbett would expand on recent GOP showings in Philly (especially with the education issue unquestionably being his biggest weakness) but get swamped in the suburbs.

Not to mention that even when he was winning by 9 points statewide he only hit 17% in Philly.

[KCDem]

Mary Fallin will win by single digits.