Landslides

[solarstorm]

Write-in: Jeff Sessions (R-AL)

[Vega]

Chris Coons (D-DE), Brian Schatz (D-HI), Jack Reed (D-RI), Mike Enzi (R-WY) and Jim Risch (R-ID) are all likely to win every county.    

[solarstorm]

Chris Coons (D-DE), Brian Schatz (D-HI), Jack Reed (D-RI), Mike Enzi (R-WY) and Jim Risch (R-ID) are all likely to win every county.    

And what about Susan Collins? Last time she won every county - in a Democratic landslide year!!

[Hifly]

Chris Coons (D-DE), Brian Schatz (D-HI), Jack Reed (D-RI), Mike Enzi (R-WY) and Jim Risch (R-ID) are all likely to win every county.    

And what about Susan Collins? Last time she won every county - in a Democratic landslide year!!

Susan Collins will win every county with a much greater margin than last time and will continue to for as long as she runs for office or the second coming of Christ Jesu!

[Vega]

Chris Coons (D-DE), Brian Schatz (D-HI), Jack Reed (D-RI), Mike Enzi (R-WY) and Jim Risch (R-ID) are all likely to win every county.    

And what about Susan Collins? Last time she won every county - in a Democratic landslide year!!

Forgot about her.

[Flake]

First of all, Ben Sasse isn't running again this year.

Coons, Schatz, Collins, Markey, Reed, Enzi, Inhofe (whichever Oklahoma person is running against Silverstein, and I'm unsure about New Hampshire. Brown could win a county or two there.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

First of all, Ben Sasse isn't running again this year.

Coons, Schatz, Collins, Markey, Reed, Enzi, Inhofe (whichever Oklahoma person is running against Silverstein, and I'm unsure about New Hampshire. Brown could win a county or two there.

Ben Sasse is the nominee for NE Senate this year:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Nebraska,_2014

[IceSpear]

Coons - Will probably lose Sussex
Schatz - For sure
Risch - Will lose Blaine
Roberts - Will lose Wyandotte, maybe more
Collins - For sure
Markey - For sure
Sasse - Will lose Thurston, maybe more
Shaheen - Will lose at least one eastern county, most likely
Inhofe - For sure
Lankford - For sure
Reed - For sure
Rounds - SD has a county that went >90% Obama, of course not
Alexander - Will lose Shelby
Warner - Nope, he didn't even in 2008
Capito - Nope
Enzi - Most likely, though there's a chance he could lose Teton

[Flake]

First of all, Ben Sasse isn't running again this year.

Coons, Schatz, Collins, Markey, Reed, Enzi, Inhofe (whichever Oklahoma person is running against Silverstein, and I'm unsure about New Hampshire. Brown could win a county or two there.

Ben Sasse is the nominee for NE Senate this year:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Nebraska,_2014

I thought it was Ricketts

Sorry about that

[Free Bird]

Susan Collins is equivalent to Optimus Prime. Wrecks sh**t up beyond belief in elections, then goes back to being a charismatic kind leader.

[TDAS04]

Certainly Schatz, Reed, Markey, and Collins, and probably the two in Oklahoma too.  Coons and Enzi also could easily do it.

[ElectionsGuy]

Coons, Schatz, Collins, Markey, Inhofe, Lankford, Reed, and Enzi.

I'm leaning no with Risch, as I think he'll lose Blaine. At the same time, I'm leaning yes with Enzi on barely winning Teton county.

With Shaheen, I think she'll lose Rockingham. With Roberts, he'll lose Douglas and Wyandotte for sure. And for Sasse, he'll lose Thurston for sure and maybe Douglas and/or Lancaster. Others are self explanatory. I don't even know why Warner is being considered here, he would have to win Virginia with over 70% to win every county/city. And South Dakota has Shannon County, so....

[NHLiberal]

With Shaheen, I think she'll lose Rockingham.

Agreed. Since I think Shaheen's victory will be by about the same amount as Hassan's 2012 victory (in which Hassan won every county), it wouldn't be impossible for Shaheen to do the same, but Hassan is from Rockingham County and Brown is "from" Rockingham County as well as a better fit for that area (wealthy, fiscally conservative) than her 2012 opponent, Lamontagne (a so-con). In 2008 Shaheen lost Rockingham, Belknap, and Carroll, when she won 51-45 statewide. She almost certainly won't lose Carroll, though it's possible she also loses Belknap (which was 51.85% Romney, as opposed to Rockingham which was 51.59% Romney). The rest of the counties are safe Shaheen.

[solarstorm]

And for Sasse, he'll lose Thurston for sure and maybe Douglas and/or Lancaster.

Johanns won both Thurston and Douglas in the Obama year.

I don't even know why Warner is being considered here, he would have to win Virginia with over 70% to win every county/city.

Warner won all but four counties in 2008.
With a strengthened Sarvis it is not utterly out of question that Warner wins each county (which is still rather unlikely).

[Never]

And for Sasse, he'll lose Thurston for sure and maybe Douglas and/or Lancaster.

Johanns won both Thurston and Douglas in the Obama year.

I don't even know why Warner is being considered here, he would have to win Virginia with over 70% to win every county/city.

Warner won all but four counties in 2008.
With a strengthened Sarvis it is not utterly out of question that Warner wins each county (which is still rather unlikely).

Sarvis could end up helping Warner win every county in Virginia, but I still think that is unlikely because the southwest region has shifted so far to the right since 2008 that at least a few counties should vote for Gillespie.

To answer the original question, I suspect Schatz, Collins, Markey, Inhofe, Lankford, Reed, and Enzi could all sweep their state's counties on their way to victory. Coons could manage to win all three counties in Delaware, but it would probably require that he win at least 65% of the statewide vote, like Carper did in 2012.

[ElectionsGuy]

And for Sasse, he'll lose Thurston for sure and maybe Douglas and/or Lancaster.

Johanns won both Thurston and Douglas in the Obama year.

I don't even know why Warner is being considered here, he would have to win Virginia with over 70% to win every county/city.

Warner won all but four counties in 2008.
With a strengthened Sarvis it is not utterly out of question that Warner wins each county (which is still rather unlikely).

1. Johanns was a different candidate and the D ended up winning some rural counties. We'll see how this race turns out to be in the end. I would think Native American vote would go heavily dem in most instances. Lancaster and Douglas as I said are maybees.

2. For one thing, Warner will not perform nearly as well as he did in 2008. He probably will not get more than 59% this time around. Even if he did perform as well as he did in 2008, as Never mentioned, counties in the southwest have trended significantly to the right and some would inevitably be Gillespie counties anyway.

[NHLiberal]

And for Sasse, he'll lose Thurston for sure and maybe Douglas and/or Lancaster.

Johanns won both Thurston and Douglas in the Obama year.

I don't even know why Warner is being considered here, he would have to win Virginia with over 70% to win every county/city.

Warner won all but four counties in 2008.
With a strengthened Sarvis it is not utterly out of question that Warner wins each county (which is still rather unlikely).

1. Johanns was a different candidate and the D ended up winning some rural counties. We'll see how this race turns out to be in the end. I would think Native American vote would go heavily dem in most instances. Lancaster and Douglas as I said are maybees.

2. For one thing, Warner will not perform nearly as well as he did in 2008. He probably will not get more than 59% this time around. Even if he did perform as well as he did in 2008, as Never mentioned, counties in the southwest have trended significantly to the right and some would inevitably be Gillespie counties anyway.

I think Warner could narrowly exceed 60%, but there's not a chance in hell he wins every county.

[Never]

And for Sasse, he'll lose Thurston for sure and maybe Douglas and/or Lancaster.

Johanns won both Thurston and Douglas in the Obama year.

I don't even know why Warner is being considered here, he would have to win Virginia with over 70% to win every county/city.

Warner won all but four counties in 2008.
With a strengthened Sarvis it is not utterly out of question that Warner wins each county (which is still rather unlikely).

1. Johanns was a different candidate and the D ended up winning some rural counties. We'll see how this race turns out to be in the end. I would think Native American vote would go heavily dem in most instances. Lancaster and Douglas as I said are maybees.

2. For one thing, Warner will not perform nearly as well as he did in 2008. He probably will not get more than 59% this time around. Even if he did perform as well as he did in 2008, as Never mentioned, counties in the southwest have trended significantly to the right and some would inevitably be Gillespie counties anyway.

I think Warner could narrowly exceed 60%, but there's not a chance in hell he wins every county.

I suppose Warner could manage to win more than 60% of the vote, but it might be difficult. He could only afford a 5 point drop in the vote from 2008, and he would have to do that with a midterm electorate less friendly to Democrats than the one he enjoyed in his inital election to the Senate. Second, although Gillespie is by no means close to winning, it does seem that he is a more vigorous candidate than Gilmore was.

On the other hand, after doing some quick figuring, I found that the RealClearPolitics average of the polls in this race between 6/11/14 and 7/30/14 shows Warner and Gillespie with a combined total of 85.3% of the vote, leaving 14.7% of the electorate not supporting either candidate. Since Warner has 52% in the current average, he needs about 8 of those 14.7 percentage points (just over 54% of the unaligned vote) to push him above 60%. That can definitely be done if the race tilts slightly more in Warner's favor, but an even split would leave Warner at 59% of the total vote or so, and it should also be noted that since Libertarian nominee Sarvis is on the ballot, he could also take some of that unaligned vote, making the task of surpassing 60% that much harder for Warner.