WaPo: "Demographics Could Whiplash GOP" In 2016 Senate Races
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  WaPo: "Demographics Could Whiplash GOP" In 2016 Senate Races
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Never
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« on: August 25, 2014, 02:11:24 PM »

In a new article for his Plum Line blog with the Washington Post website, liberal commentator Greg Sargent argues that while the demographics of states with competitive Senate races this year are slanted towards Republicans, the Senate map in 2016 will be much easier for Democrats on that same count. This news is probably nothing new to many here on the forum, but the detailed sources used to justify Sargent's estimated scope of the competitive races make the article worthwhile reading in my opinion.

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This isn't the best news to a Republican like myself, but the claims put forth do seem valid.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2014, 05:11:07 PM »

Being measured, the GOP  map is similar to Dem map in 16.

SD, WVa, Mnt GOP 14 map

IL, PA and WI Dem map 16

3-4 seat swap either way
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Never
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« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2014, 05:32:18 PM »

Being measured, the GOP  map is similar to Dem map in 16.

SD, WVa, Mnt GOP 14 map

IL, PA and WI Dem map 16

3-4 seat swap either way

Surely those won't be the only Senate seats with a reasonable chance of flipping either this year or in 2016...
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2014, 07:02:41 PM »

Of course. Thats why the NC GOP went to such lengths to disenfranchise minorities and students.  

The good news is that they can only delay the inevitable for so long.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #4 on: August 25, 2014, 07:05:46 PM »

^^^ Yeah, 2012 showed you how successful the voter restrictions were.
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: August 25, 2014, 07:11:26 PM »

^ I support the concept of voter ID. Louisiana, for example, has a great voter ID law in place that I feel is fair. The stuff that Republicans rammed into the NC bill was just so blatant and partisan; anyone who follows politics should be able to put two and two together there.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #6 on: August 25, 2014, 07:15:07 PM »

Being measured, the GOP  map is similar to Dem map in 16.

SD, WVa, Mnt GOP 14 map

IL, PA and WI Dem map 16

3-4 seat swap either way

Surely those won't be the only Senate seats with a reasonable chance of flipping either this year or in 2016...


Yeah CO, NV, WI, IL, Pa, and NH is all we need for Hillary to follow the electoral map and clinch 272 to win.

We got Robin Kelly, Kind and Sestak, perhaps Hassen or Shea Porter can run in NH.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: August 25, 2014, 07:17:06 PM »

^ I support the concept of voter ID. Louisiana, for example, has a great voter ID law in place that I feel is fair. The stuff that Republicans rammed into the NC bill was just so blatant and partisan; anyone who follows politics should be able to put two and two together there.

When it comes to voter ID, I don't think its that particularly big of a deal (though I don't support it). Though with stuff like limiting early voting and not allowing same day registration, its clear political tactics.
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