The Republicans may be favored at this point but that doesn't mean anything, especially when
the Democrats are parachuting millions into the close states to be spent between now and November.The full picture won't be available until the campaigns' finances for this quarter are released but you can get a pretty solid picture based on last quarter's figures plus the current outside spending numbers.
In Arkansas Pryor is sitting on a ton of money while SuperPACs are spending millions attacking Cotton.
In Louisiana, Landrieu has raised twice as much as Cassidy and SuperPACs have already spent 4.5 million just in attack ads.
In NC, Hagan has raised $16 million to her opponent's $4 million, and that's not even counting the $10 million that liberal groups have dumped into the race.
In CO, Udall has triple his opponent's fundraising plus Democratic SuperPAC's have spent more money attacking the Republican than he's actually managed to raise himself so far.
In IA, exact same thing as in Colorado.
In AK the fundraising is just over 2-to-1 but the spending has been 4-to-1.
All I'm saying is don't count your chickens before they hatch. The GOP certainly has the structural advantage here and a Senate majority
should be a foregone conclusion but the Democratic Party is still putting up a very costly fight that the GOP doesn't even seem to be noticing.
No matter how good a candidate is, if you allow him/her to be defined by the opponent's attack ads before they even have a chance to respond, then you cede the narrative, the momentum, and ultimately the race.
