Gustaf
Moderators
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,779
Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: -0.70
|
 |
« on: August 27, 2014, 07:09:42 PM » |
|
|
« edited: August 27, 2014, 07:14:36 PM by Gustaf »
|
The main thing that looks good for Republicans is obviously that almost every close race is in a Republican state.
My view is that Republicans are basically guaranteed 3 seats (WV, SD, MT). Then we have a bunch of close races: GA and KY for Republicans, NC, IA, CO, AK, AR and LA for Democrats. If the tossups split 50-50 Republicans get 4 seats which means a net gain of 2 for a total net gain of 5. So I keep the Democrats as narrow favourites to hold but it's sort of anyone's guess when you have this number of close races.
|
