Wind Rising: Predict Teachout's Total % of the Vote
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  Wind Rising: Predict Teachout's Total % of the Vote		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: What percentage of the vote will Teachout receive in the NY Dem primary on 9/9?
#1
<15%		  
#2
15-20%		  
#3
20-25%		  
#4
25-30%		  
#5
30-35%		  
#6
35-40%		  
#7
40-45%		  
#8
>45%		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 48

Author Topic: Wind Rising: Predict Teachout's Total % of the Vote  (Read 1551 times)
xavier110
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« on: August 28, 2014, 02:54:18 PM »
With the primary approaching, predict Teachout's performance on election day. Could be one of the most difficult numbers to pin down this entire primary season.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2014, 03:05:01 PM »
32.48%
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2014, 03:06:17 PM »
30-35%.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: August 28, 2014, 03:14:42 PM »
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Vega
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« Reply #4 on: August 28, 2014, 04:41:13 PM »
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #5 on: August 28, 2014, 04:45:38 PM »
33%, give or take 2%
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Oak Hills
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« Reply #6 on: August 28, 2014, 06:15:10 PM »
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Miles
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« Reply #7 on: August 28, 2014, 06:49:10 PM »
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Progressive
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« Reply #8 on: August 30, 2014, 01:26:09 PM »
At this stage, I see something like this:

Cuomo    65%
Teachout 30%
Credico     5%

Hochul    56%
Wu         44%

Things can change but if election were held today...
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #9 on: August 30, 2014, 01:31:13 PM »
I don't think she'll get more than 35%. Her name recognition is just too low, I would guess.
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JerryArkansas
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« Reply #10 on: August 30, 2014, 01:32:11 PM »
I could see her getting as high as 45, but more likely about 37%
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #11 on: August 30, 2014, 02:08:14 PM »
I actually think Wu wins 53-47%.  As for the State Senate, Liu will definitely win and Klein probably will too Sad (although a Koppel upset is still possible).
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free my dawg
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« Reply #12 on: August 30, 2014, 02:21:45 PM »
41%. I'm gonna go bold and say Wu wins narrowly.
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Simfan34
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« Reply #13 on: August 30, 2014, 03:43:55 PM »
The primary is on the ninth? Who knows what might happen. How's Cuomo's GOTV effort shaping up?
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Progressive
jro660
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« Reply #14 on: August 30, 2014, 04:28:36 PM »
Quote from: Governor Varavour on August 30, 2014, 03:43:55 PM
The primary is on the ninth? Who knows what might happen. How's Cuomo's GOTV effort shaping up?

Trust me, around Election Day, the labor unions and elected officials backing Cuomo will go into overdrive for Hochul and for the Governor. Will it be enough to avoid an embarrassing showing? That I don't know.
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xavier110
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« Reply #15 on: August 30, 2014, 06:00:39 PM »
« Edited: August 30, 2014, 06:18:09 PM by xavier110 »
Quote from: Progressive on August 30, 2014, 04:28:36 PM
Quote from: Governor Varavour on August 30, 2014, 03:43:55 PM
The primary is on the ninth? Who knows what might happen. How's Cuomo's GOTV effort shaping up?

Trust me, around Election Day, the labor unions and elected officials backing Cuomo will go into overdrive for Hochul and for the Governor. Will it be enough to avoid an embarrassing showing? That I don't know.

Except most of the unions aren't backing him? They couldn't care less about him.

https://twitter.com/evandawson/status/505400506005463040
http://binghamton.twcnews.com/content/politics/763900/gov--cuomo-says-he-s-not-surprised-by-lack-of-union-endorsements/

Right now, I say Wu wins and that Cuomo leads by about a 15-to-20 point margin. Something like 58-39-3.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: September 01, 2014, 04:49:10 AM »
« Edited: September 01, 2014, 05:03:16 AM by Corporate Worship »
I'm going with 35%-40% which would be pretty incredible. Credico probably eats up about 4% of the vote or so himself.

Wu could actually win. That'd be hilarious and amazing but I'm guessing he'll lose narrowly in the end (like by 2%).
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