538: Walker Still Favored in Wisconsin Gubernatorial Race

[pbrower2a]

Walker is slipping. He is getting much publicity -- but it is all bad publicity. He has hit his ceiling, and when the Democrats get organized (which they typically do on Labor Day) they will sway some 'undecided' voters. An illiberal politician in a liberal state, he offends too many sensibilities to get more than a bare plurality in an election with depressed turnout.

It's the door-knocking campaign that works, and anyone with a liberal agenda can be swayed. Walker can be hammered on issues other than abuse of power -- education, unions, welfare, the environment, or gay rights. If one is a liberal democrat on a door-knocking campaign because one is primarily for keeping labor unions intact and finds that the couple that one encounters seem far more concerned with the legal acceptance of same-sex marriage (SSM) than with unions  then one discusses the homophobia within the Republican party and the resistance of GOP pols in Wisconsin to SSM.

Walker has united the base of the other side.