PPP-NH: Shaheen +6

[RogueBeaver]

50/44, done for LCV.

[Maxwell]

This is far narrower than I expected. Granted, he has a ways to go, but it doesn't look impossible anymore. I wish they had polled Rubens.

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

LEAN R!! THE BOTTOM'S FALLING OUT FOR DEMOCRATS!!!!!!

[Maxwell]

LEAN R!! THE BOTTOM'S FALLING OUT FOR DEMOCRATS!!!!!!

People posting like this in every poll is starting to get on my nerves. PPP is pretty reputible, and while Shaheen is still extremely favored, I thought the margin was going to be low double digits.

[Never]

So this race is definitely closer than it once was, but Shaheen still has an advantage. PPP makes sense.  

[free my dawg]

Eh, she's still at 50. Can't complain.

[henster]

It was 49/41 in their last poll so Brown gained 3 points and Shaheen 1 point looks like a steady race to me.

[SPC]

Assuming this is not an outlier, the canaries may have died for Reid's majority.

[RogueBeaver]

It was 49/41 in their last poll so Brown gained 3 points and Shaheen 1 point looks like a steady race to me.

[backtored]

I suspect that NH, MI, and MN may very well all end up being decided by low-to-mid single digits. 

[Senator Cris]

LCV is a democratic group? I have read that in the 2012 election cycle, they spent $8.6 million against Republicans, $524,000 against Democrats and $1.7 million in support of Democrats.

[SPC]

LCV is a democratic group? I have read that in the 2012 election cycle, they spent $8.6 million against Republicans, $524,000 against Democrats and $1.7 million in support of Democrats.

League of Conservation Voters?

[Senator Cris]

LCV is a democratic group? I have read that in the 2012 election cycle, they spent $8.6 million against Republicans, $524,000 against Democrats and $1.7 million in support of Democrats.

League of Conservation Voters?

"The League of Conservation Voters works to defeat “anti-environment” candidates, according to its mission statement, and elect politicians “who stand up for a clean, healthy future for America.”"

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Control for the fact that this was done for a (somewhat) liberal group, and it looks like the WMUR poll actually wasn't that bad.

[DrScholl]

Shaheen will win, Brown will lose. End of debate.

[SWE]

So, Shaheen is leading by a larger margin than last time PPP polled this race but somehow this is evidence of this race becoming competitive?

[Maxwell]

So, Shaheen is leading by a larger margin than last time PPP polled this race but somehow this is evidence of this race becoming competitive?

wait really? I thought the last poll had it at 49/41, as henstar stated.

[Miles]

So, Shaheen is leading by a larger margin than last time PPP polled this race but somehow this is evidence of this race becoming competitive?

wait really? I thought the last poll had it at 49/41, as henstar stated.

Technically, that was also an LCV-affliated poll. It looks like the last independent PPP in our database is a bit dusty: its from January and Shaheen was up 3.

[KCDem]

So, Shaheen is leading by a larger margin than last time PPP polled this race but somehow this is evidence of this race becoming competitive?

This x 100000. The Republican shills continue to grasp at straws claiming that Brown is competitive.

[Maxwell]

So, Shaheen is leading by a larger margin than last time PPP polled this race but somehow this is evidence of this race becoming competitive?

This x 100000. The Republican shills continue to grasp at straws claiming that Brown is competitive.

Come on now, compare apples to apples - the last League of Conservation PPP poll showed Brown down 8 (more recent than the poll that had Brown down 3), now he's down 6. I don't think Brown will win, I'm not even sure he will be competitive by the end (considering his petulant debating style with Liz Warren), but it is getting closer.

[KCDem]

So, Shaheen is leading by a larger margin than last time PPP polled this race but somehow this is evidence of this race becoming competitive?

This x 100000. The Republican shills continue to grasp at straws claiming that Brown is competitive.

Come on now, compare apples to apples - the last League of Conservation PPP poll showed Brown down 8 (more recent than the poll that had Brown down 3), now he's down 6. I don't think Brown will win, I'm not even sure he will be competitive by the end (considering his petulant debating style with Liz Warren), but it is getting closer.

So going from being down 8 to down 6 is closing? That's statistical noise within the margin, my friend. There is little evidence that this is getting closer. I eagerly await to be proved wrong.

[GaussLaw]

So, Shaheen is leading by a larger margin than last time PPP polled this race but somehow this is evidence of this race becoming competitive?

This x 100000. The Republican shills continue to grasp at straws claiming that Brown is competitive.

Come on now, compare apples to apples - the last League of Conservation PPP poll showed Brown down 8 (more recent than the poll that had Brown down 3), now he's down 6. I don't think Brown will win, I'm not even sure he will be competitive by the end (considering his petulant debating style with Liz Warren), but it is getting closer.

So going from being down 8 to down 6 is closing? That's statistical noise within the margin, my friend. There is little evidence that this is getting closer. I eagerly await to be proved wrong.

Shaheen had been up double digits in multiple past polls, so from +10 or +11 to +6 is significant, especially with a +2 from UNH (a junky poll however), it does constitute a shift.  Of course, more polling data is needed to verify this.  Still, this just means that Scott Brown is in maybe in more of a Harold Ford situation than a Rick Santorum situation, not by any means that he's going to win.

[KCDem]

So, Shaheen is leading by a larger margin than last time PPP polled this race but somehow this is evidence of this race becoming competitive?

This x 100000. The Republican shills continue to grasp at straws claiming that Brown is competitive.

Come on now, compare apples to apples - the last League of Conservation PPP poll showed Brown down 8 (more recent than the poll that had Brown down 3), now he's down 6. I don't think Brown will win, I'm not even sure he will be competitive by the end (considering his petulant debating style with Liz Warren), but it is getting closer.

So going from being down 8 to down 6 is closing? That's statistical noise within the margin, my friend. There is little evidence that this is getting closer. I eagerly await to be proved wrong.

Shaheen had been up double digits in multiple past polls, so from +10 or +11 to +6 is significant, especially with a +2 from UNH (a junky poll however), it does constitute a shift.  Of course, more polling data is needed to verify this.  Still, this just means that Scott Brown is in maybe in more of a Harold Ford situation than a Rick Santorum situation, not by any means that he's going to win.

Scott Brown is in a Scott Brown situation, which is enough. He's toast.

[Senator Cris]

Looks like a poll for a liberal group, so almost an internal.