Will Corbett win less counties than Santorum 2006?

[Badger]

Well Pennsylvania has become more polarized since 2006 (most states have, but PA has some of the worst of it), so it's very possible that Corbett will lose by a bigger margin than Santorum while still winning more counties.

This. And I'm not yet convinced that Corbett will even lose the popular vote by Santorum levels. He's still got time to potentially (emphasis here) bring some Republican and conservative independent voters home to maybe turn his defeat into merely a bad landslide rather than an historical one.

[Badger]

No. As was mentioned, there is more polarity now than there would have been 8 years ago. I think Wolf will win by the same margin or a tad bit more, but Wolf won't do as well in the western part of the state as Casey.

2006:
   

2014: Assuming a 20-point loss when all is said and done:

As fast trending Republican as it is, there's no way Cambria stays (Atlas) blue if Wolf wins by even 10, let alone 20.

Other than Pike County likely flipping for the opposite reason, and maybe even Elk County giving one last hurrah for the Dems, this map is about right in a 20 point Wolf blowout.