From Orman's website
So this math confuses me. Correct me if I am wrong. If Orman wins, Republicans would need to win 7 seats for him to commit GOP? 6 would then be a tie, and goes into wheel and deal territory, and 5 Dems would be in control, so he commits to Democrats?
So how serious do we think Orman is about not voting for either Reid or McConnell for Majority leader? If one party or the other wins a majority without him, that's an easy promise to keep since his protest vote for Heitkamp/ Murkowski (lol) wouldn't effect the outcome. But if it's D-49, R-50, Orman-1? Conventional wisdom says he probably caucuses with democrats in that scenario, and Biden's tie-breaker gives Dems control of the Senate. But that doesn't work if Orman votes for Heitkamp or some other Democrat besides Reid. Then it's McConnel- 50, Reid-49, Heitkamp- 1, and no one has a majority for majority leader, and Biden no longer gets to cast a tie-breaking vote because there's not a tie either.
It's a rather silly thing to say in the same breath as acknowledging that you might be the tie-breaking vote.
I have to say, it would be pretty amazing to watch a some dude from Kansas nobody cared about a month ago depose both Harry Reid and Mitch McConnell and install Heidi Heitkamp or Lisa Murkowski as majority leader.
I'd be fine with Heidi Heitkamp being majority leader, because, well, she isn't a complete assface.