Who will win the Senate control in November?

[eric82oslo]

FiveThirtyEight has reduced the possibility for a Republican takeover vastly today. Down from around 63% yesterday to only 58% today.

[eric82oslo]

The different houses' take on the Senate race probabilities right now:

538: R+58.2% (updated yesterday)
NYTimes The Upshot: R +57% (updated yesterday)
WP Election Lab: R +54% (updated 3 days ago)
Daily Kos: R +53% (updated August 25?)
HuffPost Pollster: D +56% (last updated today)
Princeton Election Consortium: D +81% (updated today)

Also, Election Projection.com: 50-50 (http://www.electionprojection.com/2014-elections/2014-senate-elections.php), meaning a slight Democratic majority

So according to these five election forecasters, it's just as likely for a Democratic majority as a Republican one. And not even one of them thinks the GOP chances of retaking the Senate is currently greater than 60%.

[eric82oslo]

I tried to find the Huffpost Election Forecaster, but I couldn't... Yet apparently they gave Democrats a 60% chance of retaining the Senate on September 5.

HuffPost: R+56% (Last updated Friday, Sept. 12, 2014, at 4:01 a.m)

Link: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2014/senate-outlook

Thanks.

It's actually D +56%.