Rothenberg: 2014 = 2010, GOP gaining (at least) 7 seats

[Lief 🗽]

2014 isn't looking like 2010 at all, but okay. If it were, Republicans would be picking up 10+ seats. Right now they're only winning, in some cases only by a few points, Senate races in states that Romney carried by 10-20 or more points.

[Lief 🗽]

But yeah, this is definitely 2010 2.0, real good analysis Stu.

[Lief 🗽]

Liiiiiiiiiiief,
The problem is that the 2014 senate map is much worse than the 2010 senate map for the dems .

Well, right. Even in a Democratic year, Republicans would probably still be picking up some seats. But it's not a wave if Republicans just win Senate seats in states that Mitt Romney won by double digits. If this were really a wave they would be picking up IA, CO, NC, NH, etc. and wouldn't be losing governor's races in Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Kansas, etc.

[Lief 🗽]

No dude, the point is that it's explicitly NOT an anti-Democratic year. That is the point we are trying to make here, and the point that Stu is sweeping under the rug in an effort to make some grand statement about how this year is just 2010 redux.