Scottish independence referendum prediction thread

[Frodo]

I am not even going to attempt decimal points...

No: 51%
Yes: 49%

Voter turnout: 90-95%

[Kushahontas]

Yes 50.5
No 49.5

Turnout: 92%

[freek]

Yes 51.2%
No 48.8%

Turnout 86.0%

[Cranberry]

No 50.6%
Yes 49.4%

Turnout - 90.5%

[politicus]

Updating to:

No 52,1%
Yes 47,9%

Unchanged about the rest.

[the506]

No: 52.6
Yes: 47.4

Turnout: 87.3%

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

I'll take a stab at this.

51.1% Yes
48.9% No
91% Turnout
Cameron resigns

[King]

I predict Teabaggers here in this USA will draw flimsy comparisons and demand their own Independence Referendum

[Del Tachi]

Here's my take

53,1% No
46,9% Yes

89% turnout

Undecides and women break for "no" in order to produce a slightly larger-than-expected spread.


Just out of curiosity, is a larger turnout is generally better news for the "no" or "yes" side?   

[njwes]

I predict Teabaggers here in this USA will draw flimsy comparisons and demand their own Independence Referendum

Independence from what though?

Prediction:

54.8% No, 45.2% Yes
88% Turnout

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

Just out of curiosity, is a larger turnout is generally better news for the "no" or "yes" side?   

I'm no expert on this but I imagine it helps Yes, since old people heavily support No and are already the highest-turnout demographic

[Boris]

No 51.82%

Turnout 90.11%

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Yes 47%
No 53%

[Eraserhead]

Final Prediction

No - 50.8%
Yes - 49.2%

Turnout - 87.7%

Nobody resigns.

[MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!]

I predict Teabaggers here in this USA will draw flimsy comparisons and demand their own Independence Referendum

Independence from what though?

Does it matter?

[Kaine for Senate '18]

No: 50.9%
Yes: 49.1%
Turnout: 93%
No resignations

[Keystone Phil]

No - 52.11%
Yes -  47.89%

86% turnout

No resignations

[Franzl]

NO 59.4
YES 40.6

Turnout 85%

No resignations.

[GAworth]

50.5% YES
49.5% NO
92%-93% Turnout

There will be calls for Cameron to go, but he won't. Same for Milliband, but to a lesser extent.

[Oak Hills]

55% No
45% Yes
90% turnout

[Brewer]

50.5% YES
49.5% NO
92%-93% Turnout

There will be calls for Cameron to go, but he won't. Same for Milliband, but to a lesser extent.

[nolesfan2011]

No 50.5% Yes 49.5%, turnout 92%. Salmond resigns

[Antonio the Sixth]

No 54.5% / Yes 45.5%

Turnout ~90%

No resignation.

[MaxQue]

I have no clue, so let's try:

NO: 50.6%
YES: 49.4%

Turnout: 93.5%

Not very original, if you know what I mean....

[solarstorm]

Yes: 55.0%
No: 45.0%

Turnout: 90.5%