Scottish independence referendum prediction thread

[politicus]

Overall result (to the first decimal point for each side): Yes 49.7%, No 50.3%

Turnout (to the first decimal point): 90.3%

A week after the result, which (if any) of the following will have resigned or have announced their intention to do so?: David Cameron, Ed Miliband, Alex Salmond.

[politicus]

Most YES:

Western Isles


Most NO :

Shetland

[politicus]

Turnout (to the first decimal point): 78.5%

Why do you expect such a low turnout?

[politicus]

Also any predictions for most 'Yes' and 'No' regions? Apparently counting is done by Council region so...

Most YES (no order)
Angus
Moray
Western Isles

Most NO (no order, except for the first):
Shetland
Scottish Borders
Orkney

While I won't be making a prediction (because I might make myself ill ) On the matter of areas of strength, Eilean Siar is quite tense at the moment. The Wee Frees are very much No, feart of a Catholic independent Scotland. I'd say the strongest Yes area might be Dundee.

Why Dundee over Angus?

Sounds almost incredible that the Wee Frees are that paranoid, but they are after all a relatively small voting bloc. I suppose its enough to relegate Western Isles from the top spot, but presumably they will still be in the Top 5 for Yes.

[politicus]

Updating to:

No 52,1%
Yes 47,9%

Unchanged about the rest.

[politicus]

This thread should be closed now.