Which current members of Congress...

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Do you think are most likely to see their careers torpedoed by a completely random/unexpected scandal the like Foley, Redel, Walsh, Jackson Jr., etc in the near future (say the next four years)?

- Bob Brady
- Corrine Brown
- Sheila Jackson Lee
- Vern Buchanan
- Jim Renacci
- Sam Graves
- Cathy McMorris-Rogers
- Lee Terry
- Bob Menendez
- Ted Cruz

Obviously nothing will happen with most of these, but I could see one of them imploding by November 2016 due to a major scandal.

[Vega]

Why include Bob Menendez? Because of some stupid made up story by Cuba, which was then propelled in the U.S. by a right wing blog?

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Surely the very nature of a random scandal means it can affect any politico?

I think Terry will be shoved out by the leadership soon more than any scandal. His persistent under-performing and weak showings mean he is a liability.

[Miles]

Surely the very nature of a random scandal means it can affect any politico?

Not to discount this thread, but that was my first thought, too.

[SWE]

Brett Guthrie

[moderatevoter]

Surely the very nature of a random scandal means it can affect any politico?

Not to discount this thread, but that was my first thought, too.

[TJ in Oregon]

Surely the very nature of a random scandal means it can affect any politico?

Not to discount this thread, but that was my first thought, too.

^^^ Exactly. Do you know something the rest of us don't, Mr. X?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Surely the very nature of a random scandal means it can affect any politico?

Not to discount this thread, but that was my first thought, too.

^^^ Exactly. Do you know something the rest of us don't, Mr. X?

Well, I know Graves had to be basically dragged into a personal meeting with Boehner to tell him to stop being so...err...friendly with female lobbyists

[Dereich]

I wouldn't include Corrine on this list. For one, no scandal is unexpected; she gets into trouble too often to surprise anyone. Also, no amount of scandal could sink her career. The only person who would have a chance of beating her WITH lots of scandals is busy being Jacksonville's mayor.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

I wouldn't include Corrine on this list. For one, no scandal is unexpected; she gets into trouble too often to surprise anyone. Also, no amount of scandal could sink her career. The only person who would have a chance of beating her WITH lots of scandals is busy being Jacksonville's mayor.

Good point, that was why I left off Rengel.  I guess that could also apply to Lee.  To answer Vega's question: no, Menendez has just always struck me as a sketchball in much the same way as Brady.

[Mister Mets]

Scandals are more likely to hurt politicians without institutional support.

If Anthony Weiner had been more of a team player, he might not have been forced to resign.

So the likes of Justin Amash and Ted Cruz would be more vulnerable.

There's also an argument that politicians who represent cities with a strong media presence are more likely to be caught, because they have the attention of more reporters.

I'll also nominate Democratic congresswoman Grace Meng from New York for that reason, and for her father's criminal past, which increases her odds of getting embroiled in something.

[Bacon King]

Aaron Schock will inevitaby be outed