NY-21 (Siena)- Stefanik holds double digit lead

[Talleyrand]

http://www.wwnytv.com/news/local/Poll-Stefanik-Leads-By-13-274804571.html

Stefanik (R)- 46
Woolf (D)- 33
Funiciello (G)- 10

Looks like this one is gone, as it was from the moment that Democrats nominated a nobody filmmaker who lives outside the district as their candidate.

[Maxwell]

I mean, Republicans screw things up a bunch, but it looks like Democrats had a really bad year for recruiting candidates. Honestly, this first time since I've been looking at elections that it's DEMOCRATS that are taking losses out of the jaws of victory.

Then again, without Bill Owens, this district was pretty much a loss anyway.

[Miles]

No surprise. I've been saying for a while that Republicans were clearly favored here.

[DrScholl]

Yeah, that's probably not going to turn out that way. It's hard to see Republicans actually gaining any seats that Romney didn't carry. We'll see what happens.

[KCDem]

It's Siena, so I'll wait for the next poll.

[Devils30]

Obama actually won this district 52-46, better than his 2008 showing. I can see this one going red this fall and flipping right back in 2016, especially if Hillary scores a big win. It's trending Democratic but probably winnable for the GOP until the next big Democratic year.

[free my dawg]

Jesus Christ, how do you manage to recruit a Some Dude in a potentially winnable race?

[Flake]

Jesus Christ, how do you manage to recruit a Some Dude in a potentially winnable race?

Especially from the New York Democratic Party, they have a great bench, what went wrong here?

[Panda Express]

Any chance we can replace this Woof dude with Zephyr Teachout?

[Eraserhead]

I want to know what Hawkins numbers in the governor's race are here.

[cinyc]

I want to know what Hawkins numbers in the governor's race are here.

There's a link to the Excel file with all the crosstabs in the article.  The Gubernatorial race was 44-35-12, Cuomo/Astorino/Hawkins, with Hawkins doing best in the counties near Albany (17%) and worse in the North Country.

[Eraserhead]

I want to know what Hawkins numbers in the governor's race are here.

There's a link to the Excel file with all the crosstabs in the article.  The Gubernatorial race was 44-35-12, Cuomo/Astorino/Hawkins, with Hawkins doing best in the counties near Albany (17%) and worse in the North Country.

Nice. Thanks.

[Devils30]

The green party will never get even close to 10%. Could be closer if you test a 2 way race.

[Eraserhead]

The green party will never get even close to 10%. Could be closer if you test a 2 way race.

They could get close to that this year if Hawkins does as well as I think he will.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

This looks a lot like a poll that had Hoffman up double digits before that special.

[henster]

Woolf has been running a strong campaign I think he can consolidate the Greens and close the gap in the end.