Who will win in NY-11?
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  Who will win in NY-11?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Who will win in New York's 11th Congressional District?
#1
Michael Grimm (R-I)		  
#2
Domenic Recchia (D)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: Who will win in NY-11?  (Read 1163 times)
Fuzzybigfoot
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« on: September 11, 2014, 09:44:49 PM »
Well? 
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Flake
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« Reply #1 on: September 11, 2014, 09:51:54 PM »
Recchia will win.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
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« Reply #2 on: September 11, 2014, 10:16:02 PM »
Alright, which one of you goofballs said Grimm?
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Indy Texas
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« Reply #3 on: September 11, 2014, 10:30:49 PM »
NY-11's voters will bite their lips and vote to reelect the incumbent because otherwise Michael Grimm is going to throw them over the balcony of the Capitol rotunda, Sicilian-style.
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cinyc
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« Reply #4 on: September 11, 2014, 10:41:02 PM »
Quote from: interstate73 on September 11, 2014, 10:16:02 PM
Alright, which one of you goofballs said Grimm?

I did.  I honestly don't have a good read on the race.  Why?  For one, I haven't seen any recent poling.  Plus, primary voters just voted to put two indicted New York State Senators on the November ballot.  One will certainly win, given the makeup of his district.  There seems to be some tolerance for alleged criminality among politicians in New York.  An indictment isn't necessarily enough to disqualify someone from getting elected in New York - if voters are even aware of it.  It's an expensive media market.
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Vega
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« Reply #5 on: September 12, 2014, 06:05:40 PM »
It shouldn't be close, but I think Recchia will win.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: September 12, 2014, 06:17:33 PM »
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cinyc
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« Reply #7 on: September 12, 2014, 06:23:43 PM »
We're supposed to get a Siena College poll of the race in the near future.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #8 on: September 12, 2014, 07:14:31 PM »
New Yorkers don't care about corruption. Especially not those goddamn Staten Island monsters. Grimm will win.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #9 on: September 12, 2014, 08:31:25 PM »
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SamInTheSouth
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« Reply #10 on: September 13, 2014, 10:41:28 PM »
Recchia I would hope.
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Miles
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« Reply #11 on: September 13, 2014, 10:45:53 PM »
Recchia, but I wouldn't be surprised if Grimm held on.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
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« Reply #12 on: September 14, 2014, 05:11:14 AM »
Quote from: ℒief on September 12, 2014, 07:14:31 PM
New Yorkers don't care about corruption. Especially not those goddamn Staten Island monsters. Grimm will win.

I wonder how many Cuomo/Grimm pro-corruption voters there are.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #13 on: September 14, 2014, 11:01:19 AM »
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Bacon King
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« Reply #14 on: September 16, 2014, 01:53:58 PM »
What makes this cycle so different for the Staten Island district?
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cinyc
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« Reply #15 on: September 16, 2014, 02:20:59 PM »
« Edited: September 16, 2014, 03:09:48 PM by cinyc »
Quote from: Bacon King on September 16, 2014, 01:53:58 PM
What makes this cycle so different for the Staten Island district?

Grimm has been indicted for dealings with the restaurant he owned before entering Congress and threatened to throw a reporter off a balcony for asking him about it.

What's unclear is whether any of this really matters in a New York City election.  Two New York State Senators under indictment recently won their primaries.  Charlie Rangel keeps winning reelection despite his ethics difficulties.  And you can't assume all or even most voters know about the indictments in such an expensive media market.  We should see a Siena poll at 7PM tonight which will help answer these questions.

Siena is also polling NY-1, which will be released tomorrow.
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Never
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« Reply #16 on: September 16, 2014, 02:43:11 PM »
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Vosem
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« Reply #17 on: September 16, 2014, 03:54:48 PM »
This is a swing district and Grimm is under a cloud, so I'd have to bet on Recchia. But, as others have said, the political culture here is much more conducive to Grimm than most places would be. Voted Recchia.
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cinyc
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« Reply #18 on: September 16, 2014, 06:03:01 PM »
Siena's poll is 44-40 Grimm with 4% for the Green Party candidate and 12% undecided.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #19 on: September 16, 2014, 06:58:46 PM »
Quote from: cinyc on September 16, 2014, 06:03:01 PM
Siena's poll is 44-40 Grimm with 4% for the Green Party candidate and 12% undecided.

Only in New York Sad
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #20 on: September 16, 2014, 09:03:08 PM »
Quote from: Ten in Roman Numerals on September 16, 2014, 06:58:46 PM
Quote from: cinyc on September 16, 2014, 06:03:01 PM
Siena's poll is 44-40 Grimm with 4% for the Green Party candidate and 12% undecided.

Only in New York Sad

Yeah this election is starting to look pretty grimm
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Holmes
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« Reply #21 on: September 16, 2014, 10:05:42 PM »
Obviously Grimm. Come on, guys.
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