Sweden election results thread (Sept 14, 2014)

[politicus]

Oh my God, 40% and SD still at 13.7%. Pretty terrifying.

A friend of mine betted 10.000 Danish kroner (almost 2.000 $) SD would break the 12,0% DPP got in their breakthrough election in 2001 and I thought he was crazy, but he might actually win his bet.

[eric82oslo]

Oh my God, 40% and SD still at 13.7%. Pretty terrifying.

Don't worry. They're still counting rural sh**tholes as we speak. Decent urban precincts are going to get in later. And FI is already at 3.0 which is good news.

Not really. F! is doing amazing in inner cities (Stockholm, Göteborg, Malmö), yet they're doing absolutely horribly in the suburbs. The by far most populous region of Sweden is the Stockholm subrubs, and there F! is only getting about 2.5% right now.

[Zanas]

It's worth noting that S could well get their lowest score since... 1920 (29.7% at the time), beating their low point of 2010 at 30.66. They are currently running between 30 and 31 in exit polls.

[Lurker]

FI will not make treshold according to SVT's current prognosis. Sweden Democrats estimated to get 13%.

Red-Greens clearly bigger than Alliance.

[jaichind]

FI will have to rely on Stockholm to push them over 4%.  So far from a statistical point of view it does not seem likely.  They are not over-performing there enough for them to make it.

[Antonio the Sixth]

Oh my God, 40% and SD still at 13.7%. Pretty terrifying.

Don't worry. They're still counting rural sh**tholes as we speak. Decent urban precincts are going to get in later. And FI is already at 3.0 which is good news.

Stockolm County is at 48% and Västra Götaland at 63%...

[Antonio the Sixth]

Also, I guess FI has no chance to qualify at this point...

[jaichind]

FI is at 3% with 62.5% of the districts counted.  For them to get to 4% they have to perform at more than 6% in the remaining districts.  Even in Stockolm they are only at 4.9%.  They will miss the 4% by a significant margin.  

[jaichind]

With almost 2/3 of the districts results in, the center-left is clearly under performing so far.  The entire center-left vote share is 46.7% and that include a wasted vote of 3% for FI.

[RogueBeaver]

So what will happen next, with SD holding the balance of power?

[politicus]

So what will happen next, with SD holding the balance of power?

The biggest bloc will form a minority government.

[jaichind]

So SD voters are shy toward exit pollsters and FI supporters are outgoing toward exit pollsters

[politicus]

So SD voters are shy toward exit pollsters and FI supporters are outgoing toward exit pollsters

It makes sense, SD is still not a respectable choice.

[You kip if you want to...]

So SD voters are shy toward exit pollsters and FI supporters are outgoing toward exit pollsters

It makes sense, Sd is still not a respectable choice.

And young people love a fad (see also: Yes Scotland).

[eric82oslo]

Really depressing results. The only parties overperforming are SD, S and M.

[Zanas]

A projection in seats I found :

S: 114
MP: 25
V: 21
M: 84
FP: 20
C: 22
KD: 16
SD: 47

Alliansen: 142
De rödgröna: 160

Nobody near a majority, which is at 175 with a total of 349 seats.

[DL]

The left will form a government and that's all I care about

[Zanas]

Yet another depressing night. Sigh. When will it end ?

[eric82oslo]

Yet another depressing night. Sigh. When will it end ?

November 2016

[Cassius]

I quite like this result (even if the government appear to have lost, but what the heck).

[jaichind]

I guess this result will mean a center-left minority government with a significant chance of a mid-term election.

[DL]

I guess this result will mean a center-left minority government with a significant chance of a mid-term election.

I don't think Sweden has ever had a "mid-term election"...the centre left will find some way to stay in power until 2018 - there is no alternative

[Antonio the Sixth]

I don't think Sweden has ever had a "mid-term election"

They had one in 1958.

[politicus]

I guess this result will mean a center-left minority government with a significant chance of a mid-term election.

I don't think Sweden has ever had a "mid-term election"...the centre left will find some way to stay in power until 2018 - there is no alternative

Sweden had elections in 1958, 1960 and 1970 after 2 years.   

[Antonio the Sixth]

Great job, Swedes! Welcome to the same nightmarish hell that other European countries have been living through for a while. Apparently you're no better than them.