Put a Rating on Control of the Senate

[Pessimistic Antineutrino]

Tossup/Tilt D, as it has been for some time now. Would be Pure Tossup or Tilt R without Orman.

[Eraserhead]

Tilt D/Toss-up. It's going to be very close.

[Senator Cris]

Pure toss-up.

[Free Bird]

I really think Orman is overrated. He's made it interesting, and is 1:1 almost with my views, but Roberts is a powerful incumbent in a state that is red as it gets.

[Mehmentum]

Republicans have a clear, but narrow, path to win the Senate.  There are also several complications that could get in their way.

So the best path to victory I see for the Republicans is West Virginia, Montana, South Dakota , Arkansas, Louisiana, and Alaska.  The first three should be no problem.  However, the last 3 are where things get tricky.  I'd say the republicans are at least slightly favored in all three of those races, but Democrats could still pull off an upset there.

North Carolina is drifting away from the Republicans.  New Hampshire, Colorado, and Iowa aren't looking so hot either.  I honestly don't think the Republicans will get more than +6.

Republicans also need to worry about Kansas (and to a lesser extent, Georgia).  Orman could be a paper tiger, but its too soon to tell.  Kansas really is the wildcard right now.

[Never]

Pure toss-up.

[Dixie Reborn]

Tossup/Tilt R.

[Consciously Unconscious]

Tossup/Tilt R.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

I don't like to say things are pure toss-ups (seems like a cop-out), so I'll say it ever so slightly tilts towards Democrats..

[The Other Castro]

Tossup/Tilt I
After Orman wins, 50 other senators will leave their parties and join him in independence, then make Angus King the Majority Leader. (Insane)

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Tilt slightly Dem.

[Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends]

Tossup/Tilt R.

[Bojack Horseman]

I'm going tilt-D/toss up.

[Suburbia]

Tossup.

[ElectionsGuy]

Bump.

Changed to Toss-Up/Tilt R

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Lean R.

60/40 or so in terms of percentages.

[Vega]

Changing my rating to tilt R.

[SWE]

Lean R

[Illuminati Blood Drinker]

Changing my rating to tilt R.

[Vosem]

Leans Republican, just like the rating for control of Iowa's Class 2 seat.

[Dixie Reborn]

Leans Republican, just like the rating for control of Iowa's Class 2 seat.

[Mehmentum]

It's looking more Republican friendly. Iowa and Colorado both look really close and the Democrats need to win them both while hoping Orman wins Kansas and caucuses with them. 

Alaska, Louisianna, Georgia, etc. are falling out of reach.  The only Democrat in a red state that has a decent chance is Pryor.   

That is, unless another surprise happens.  That South Dakota race looks like it could be volatile.

[Miles]

Alaska, Louisianna, Georgia, etc. are falling out of reach.  The only Democrat in a red state that has a decent chance is Pryor.   

Hagan?

[Mehmentum]

Alaska, Louisianna, Georgia, etc. are falling out of reach.  The only Democrat in a red state that has a decent chance is Pryor.   

Hagan?

I'd call North Carolina purple.

[Maxwell]

Alaska, Louisianna, Georgia, etc. are falling out of reach.  The only Democrat in a red state that has a decent chance is Pryor.   

Hagan?

I'd call North Carolina purple.

Hagan is leading in most polls. Last PPP poll had Pryor down 6.