Put a Rating on Control of the House of Representiatives
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 19, 2024, 12:16:26 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Put a Rating on Control of the House of Representiatives		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Poll
Question: Not any individual race, but control of the house?
#1
Safe R		  
#2
Likely R		  
#3
Lean R		  
#4
Toss-Up/Tilt R		  
#5
Anything else?		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 75

Author Topic: Put a Rating on Control of the House of Representiatives  (Read 1334 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: September 14, 2014, 03:38:36 PM »
« edited: September 14, 2014, 03:42:16 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Likely R, actually looking at seats up for grabs again, I'm going to say Safe R.
Logged
Vega
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,253
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: September 14, 2014, 03:40:17 PM »
Safe R.
Logged
Supersonic
SupersonicVenue
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,162
United Kingdom


Political Matrix
E: 4.90, S: 0.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: September 14, 2014, 03:41:06 PM »
Logged
SWE
SomebodyWhoExists
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,303
United States


P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: September 14, 2014, 03:42:43 PM »
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: September 14, 2014, 03:52:44 PM »

(so much for the forum being full of Dem hacks Tongue)
Logged
NewYorkExpress
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 24,823
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: September 14, 2014, 04:01:58 PM »
Very Safe R (Though the number they gain might less than expected)
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,685
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: September 14, 2014, 04:23:19 PM »
If a govt. shutdown is averted, Safe R. If one happens, Likely R, or possibly Lean R.
Logged
Flake
Flo
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,688
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: September 14, 2014, 05:13:47 PM »
Logged
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Pessimistic Antineutrino
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,896
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: September 14, 2014, 10:52:25 PM »
Logged
ProudModerate2
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,449
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: September 14, 2014, 11:11:29 PM »

Safe R.
LOL, IceSpear. Funny, but a true statement it is.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: September 14, 2014, 11:20:54 PM »
Shoulda voted Safe R, but I said Likely R.
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: September 14, 2014, 11:48:34 PM »
Who the hell voted for toss up/tilt R?!?
Logged
moderatevoter
ModerateVAVoter
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,381


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: September 14, 2014, 11:50:29 PM »
Quote from: Joshua on September 14, 2014, 11:48:34 PM
Who the hell voted for toss up/tilt R?!?

Probably OC.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: September 14, 2014, 11:54:41 PM »

Yeah, I find it funny that the Dems get pounded on for being hacks, yet almost no Dems think we stand a realistic shot of winning the House. On the other hand, we have multiple Republican posters who thought Mitt Romney would win in 2012. Of course, that was more likely than Dems taking the House, but both are/were in single digit probability.
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: September 14, 2014, 11:56:45 PM »

My vote's on KCDem....
Logged
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,803
Spain


Political Matrix
E: -8.65, S: -9.04

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: September 15, 2014, 05:13:34 AM »
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,460
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: September 15, 2014, 06:58:42 AM »
Safe R
Logged
Senator Cris
Cris
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,613
Italy


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: September 15, 2014, 07:40:34 AM »
Safe R.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: September 15, 2014, 10:24:08 AM »
Safe R at somewhere around R+1-10 (for 2014 net gain)
Logged
🦀🎂🦀🎂
CrabCake
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,243
Kiribati


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: September 15, 2014, 03:10:08 PM »
Likely R in a neutral year, Safe R in November.
Logged
LeBron
LeBron FitzGerald
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,906
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: September 15, 2014, 08:22:40 PM »
Safe R, though control of the House won't be called until 9 pm EST like it has in the past by news stations.

Even when turnout was higher and Dems got higher popular vote nationwide in the House races in 2012, we still only won 8 seats. We need 17 seats to flip the House, and the seats just aren't there this year to do that when you factor in gerrymandering, lower turnout, Democratic retirements from the likes of Owens, Matheson and McIntyre, and the losses of Democratic incumbents like Nolan, Rahall or Garcia.
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: September 15, 2014, 08:37:21 PM »
Very safe R - there will be some weird local dynamics in there that could lead to virtually a net loss/gain of 0.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: September 15, 2014, 10:18:36 PM »
Logged
Bojack Horseman
Wolverine22
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,370
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: September 16, 2014, 01:11:28 AM »
Safe R and probably will be for decades to come unless a miracle happens sir where along the way despite the gerrymandering. In which case the Dems need to hold onto control until the Census and gerrymander it to where the Tea Party has no chance if ever gaining any sort of power ever again.
Logged
Slander and/or Libel
Figs
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,338


Political Matrix
E: -6.32, S: -7.83

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: September 16, 2014, 06:34:11 AM »
Safe R, obv. But the problem is structural beyond gerrymandering. Dems should look to try to control statehouses in 2020, obviously, but even so they're fighting an uphill battle as long as liberal voters are concentrated in cities and people have become convinced that weirdly-shaped districts are the WORST THING EVER.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.05 seconds with 13 queries.