ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1 (user search)
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  ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: ME-PPP/MCVAF: Michaud+1  (Read 3094 times)
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« on: September 16, 2014, 12:43:55 AM »

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.

I'll have to disagree. Cutler will probably get more than 11% and that is only bad news for Michaud. Considering muh PPP is generally left leaning, I'm optimistic

Yet still among the most accurate?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2014, 05:10:24 AM »

Muh Democratic Party

Glad to see Michaud is complacent. Cutler has even lower numbers than before and yet it looks like LePage is turning this around. This will be close either way, and I suspect Michaud wins this anyway, but this is now a Toss-up (Tilt D), not the Lean D I originally thought it would be.

I'll have to disagree. Cutler will probably get more than 11% and that is only bad news for Michaud. Considering muh PPP is generally left leaning, I'm optimistic

Yet still among the most accurate?

Perhaps because 2012 was just a good year for the left in general? Not saying they're unrelated, but the correlation, from what I have seen, doesn't occur in non-left favored cycles

Wha? It doesn't usually work like that. PPP actually had the smallest house effect in 2010 as well. Rasmussen did badly in 2010 and by that reasoning they should have done well in a 'right' year.
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