AR-Southern Progress Fund (D)/Answers Unlimited (D ?): Pryor+4

[eric82oslo]

Republicans only will win Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia, while losing Kansas to an Independent, for a net gain for two. Arkansas might fall, but it's far from a guarantee. Everything else will go Democratic.

Isn't it more likely that Louisiana will fall than Arkansas, since she will actually need 50% of the vote in order to survive? And as far as I can remember, she hasn't been even near that number in any polls so far. I hope I'm wrong though. If I could chose, I'd rather want Louisiana to go Democratic than Arkansas.

[eric82oslo]

Republicans only will win Montana, South Dakota and West Virginia, while losing Kansas to an Independent, for a net gain for two. Arkansas might fall, but it's far from a guarantee. Everything else will go Democratic.

Isn't it more likely that Louisiana will fall than Arkansas, since she will actually need 50% of the vote in order to survive? And as far as I can remember, she hasn't been even near that number in any polls so far. I hope I'm wrong though. If I could chose, I'd rather want Louisiana to go Democratic than Arkansas.

I think Landrieu could clear 50% on election day, polling has shown her hovering close to 50%.

Really? Most polls I've seen have had her in the low 40s. Some even in the 30s I think.