Early voting, absentee requests & statistics

[Tender Branson]

Democrats have a 33-vote lead in returned absentee votes. This is probably the last day they lead in the absentee vote.

In NC, yeah.

But in NC there's hardly anything returned yet.

[Miles]

The good news for Democrats is that, while they've returned about 50% more absentee ballots than this time in 2010, Republicans are slightly below where they were four years ago.

Democrats have a 33-vote lead in returned absentee votes. This is probably the last day they lead in the absentee vote.

In NC, yeah.

But in NC there's hardly anything returned yet.

Ah, yeah. I forgot to specify NC!

[Tender Branson]

The good news for Democrats is that, while they've returned about 50% more absentee ballots than this time in 2010, Republicans are slightly below where they were four years ago.

This is all so meaningless at this stage.

There are now just 15.000 ballots returned in NC and just 70.000 requested.

The 2010 vote was 2.7 million, which means only 0.5% of the vote is returned right now and only 2.5% requested.

In IA, a lot more is already in and requested.

Tells us more.

[Mr. Illini]

Unsatisfactory numbers out of North Carolina, but impressive numbers in Iowa

[backtored]

Colorado ballot count for 11/20:

Total votes cast: 79,355

Republicans: 36,830 (46%)

Democrats: 24,648 (31%)

Unaffiliated: 17,191 (21%)

Here are the numbers for two crucial suburban Denver swing counties, both of which generally mirror statewide turnout (as you can see):

Jefferson County

Republicans: 5961 (43%)

Democrats: 4352 (32%)

Unaffiliated: 3394 (25%)


Arapahoe County

Republicans: 4877 (45%)

Democrats: 3521 (32%)

Unaffiliated: 2378 (22%)

Enjoy.

[New_Conservative]

Awesome news out of Colorado and North Carolina, and we are still close in Iowa considering Democrats always destroy Republicans in early voting.

#RidingtheWave

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Colorado ballot count for 11/20:

Total votes cast: 79,355

Republicans: 36,830 (46%)

Democrats: 24,648 (31%)

Unaffiliated: 17,191 (21%)

Here are the numbers for two crucial suburban Denver swing counties, both of which generally mirror statewide turnout (as you can see):

Jefferson County

Republicans: 5961 (43%)

Democrats: 4352 (32%)

Unaffiliated: 3394 (25%)


Arapahoe County

Republicans: 4877 (45%)

Democrats: 3521 (32%)

Unaffiliated: 2378 (22%)

Enjoy.

What are the numbers for El Paso, Boulder, Denver, Douglas, and Pueblo counties?

[Lief 🗽]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

[KCDem]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

[New_Conservative]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

Of course, but at least we are off to a good start...

How many times do the Republicans need to be dominated by the Democrats in early voting before they learn ? I hope the GOP finally improved their get out the vote effort, because the Democrats are outstanding at it.

[backtored]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

[KCDem]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

[backtored]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

In other words, every other poll except for YouGov and internals?

[KCDem]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

In other words, every other poll except for YouGov and internals?

Show me a recent reputable poll of Colorado that wasn't a Democratic "internal"?

[Vosem]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

In other words, every other poll except for YouGov and internals?

Show me a recent reputable poll of Colorado that wasn't a Democratic "internal"?

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2096

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/15/politics/colorado-senate-poll/index.html

http://www.denverpost.com/election2014/ci_26719752/colorado-senate-close-race-momentum-favors-gardner-poll

[KCDem]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

In other words, every other poll except for YouGov and internals?

Show me a recent reputable poll of Colorado that wasn't a Democratic "internal"?

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2096

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/15/politics/colorado-senate-poll/index.html

http://www.denverpost.com/election2014/ci_26719752/colorado-senate-close-race-momentum-favors-gardner-poll

None of those are reputable...any others?

[Brittain33]

Backtored, he's a troll.

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

In other words, every other poll except for YouGov and internals?

[backtored]

El Paso County (Colorado Springs, heavily GOP, heavily populated)

Republicans: 7565 (55%)
Democrats: 2956 (22%)
Unaffiliated: 2906 (21%)

Douglas County (suburban Denver, heavily Republican)

Republicans: 5773 (60%)
Democrats: 1917 (20%)
Unaffiliated: 1818 (19%)

Denver County (urban, heavily Democratic, heavily populated)

Republicans: 465 (21%)
Democrats: 1249 (56%)
Unaffiliated: 488 (22%)

Boulder County (college town, heavily Democratic)

Republicans: 1176 (28%)
Democrats: 1856 (45%)
Unaffiliated: 1054 (25%)

Pueblo County (large Latino population, heavily Democratic--but a lot of socially conservative Democrats)

Republicans: 1851 (29%)
Democrats: 3245 (51%)
Unaffiliated: 1163 (18%)

[KCDem]

Backtored, he's a troll.

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

In other words, every other poll except for YouGov and internals?

Says the junk polling organization?

[New_Conservative]

El Paso County (Colorado Springs, heavily GOP, heavily populated)

Republicans: 7565 (55%)
Democrats: 2956 (22%)
Unaffiliated: 2906 (21%)

Douglas County (suburban Denver, heavily Republican)

Republicans: 5773 (60%)
Democrats: 1917 (20%)
Unaffiliated: 1818 (19%)

Denver County (urban, heavily Democratic, heavily populated)

Republicans: 465 (21%)
Democrats: 1249 (56%)
Unaffiliated: 488 (22%)

Boulder County (college town, heavily Democratic)

Republicans: 1176 (28%)
Democrats: 1856 (45%)
Unaffiliated: 1054 (25%)

Pueblo County (large Latino population, heavily Democratic--but a lot of socially conservative Democrats)

Republicans: 1851 (29%)
Democrats: 3245 (51%)
Unaffiliated: 1163 (18%)

Hoping the GOP made huge impressions on the unaffiliated voters.

[KCDem]

Good to see Democrats sweeping the board in early voting! #DemWave

[Vosem]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

In other words, every other poll except for YouGov and internals?

Show me a recent reputable poll of Colorado that wasn't a Democratic "internal"?

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2096

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/15/politics/colorado-senate-poll/index.html

http://www.denverpost.com/election2014/ci_26719752/colorado-senate-close-race-momentum-favors-gardner-poll

None of those are reputable...any others?

Other than that it's all junk polling.

[KCDem]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

This. Seems Republicans are getting desperate.

Republicans are up in the polls and up in early voting and you think it is Republicans who are getting desperate?

Not if you discount Junk polls.

In other words, every other poll except for YouGov and internals?

Show me a recent reputable poll of Colorado that wasn't a Democratic "internal"?

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/colorado/release-detail?ReleaseID=2096

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/15/politics/colorado-senate-poll/index.html

http://www.denverpost.com/election2014/ci_26719752/colorado-senate-close-race-momentum-favors-gardner-poll

None of those are reputable...any others?

Other than that it's all junk polling.

I agree, all the public polling has been junk. Good thing we have Benenson Strategy Group to tell us where the race stands

[Brittain33]

How does El Paso County turn out more Democrats than all of Denver combined?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

How does El Paso County turn out more Democrats than all of Denver combined?

Because hardly anything has come in from Denver  These numbers mean very little right now.