Early voting, absentee requests & statistics

[Donnie]

Republican lead grows in Colorado: amazing

Colorado update #2, 10/31

Total votes: 1,217,284 (approximately two-thirds of the electorate has already voted)

Republicans: 502,961 (41.3%)
Democrats: 391,509 (32.1%)
Unaffiliated: 323,228 (26.6%)

Total GOP lead over Dems: 111,452 (9.2%)

The 2010 electorate was R+5.9 and 2012 was around R+2.  

I don't see the full link to the second update on the SoS site, so I can't update the Minor parties, but....

Received ballots = roughly 67% of the 2010 vote total of 1.821 million.

Assuming similar turnout:
To get to R+6, Democrats (Buck 2010) remaining sample would need to be D +0.4.
To get to R+3, Democrats remaining sample would need to be D +9.4.
To get to R+1, Democrats remaining sample would need to be D +15.5.

It's the first time that Democrats need to send more bodies to the polls than Republicans to get to R+6.

As Yogi used to say, it's getting late, early

Based on that ,it looks Gardner (R) wins by 2-3% in the end.

[Donnie]

Colorado 11/3 AM update:

Total votes: 1,372,543 (70-75% of expected electorate)

R: 556,111
D: 444,556
U: 371,382

Republicans have an 8.1% lead over Democrats.  2010 was R+5.9.

QUESTION: What % of electorat was this R+5.9 back in 2010 ??