Early voting, absentee requests & statistics

[Lief 🗽]

The amount of votes in Colorado is tiny. It's way too early to make any conclusions.

[Lief 🗽]

Turnout for first day of early voting in Dem-leaning Palm Beach County up 32.5% over 2010

[Lief 🗽]

Ralston says the Republinami continues building in Clark, Washoe.

Does it really matter though? At worst Horsford goes down, and we take it back with ease in 2016.

Ross Miller is basically the Democrat's only rising star in Nevada. It would suck if he lost the AG's race. Republicans will also easily pick up the state senate now and possibly the assembly.

[Lief 🗽]

Good blog with updates on NC early voting

[Lief 🗽]

Democrats continue to chip away at Republican's lead in Florida.

GOP led by 9.6 Friday morning, 9.2 Saturday morning, and are down to 8.4 this morning. Dems should get another boost today with "Souls to the Polls" voting.

[Lief 🗽]

I was wrong. The website of the Secretary of State says that you can exchange your mail ballot for a polling ballot at vote centers, where you can also vote. So I guess you could presumably register to vote at a vote center and then go ahead and just vote.

I really hope the GOP wins and repeals these awful laws

Yes the Republicans will likely declare war on minority and poor voting rights if they win.

It's insane that there are people like you who are outraged at laws making voting as easy as possible.

[Lief 🗽]

Of course if Colorado is anything like Washington in its all vote-by-mail ballot counting, we'll be at like 75% of the vote counted on Wednesday morning.

[Lief 🗽]

Colorado as of today:

Republicans: 41.9%
Democrats: 32.5%
Unaffiliated: 24.5%

Looks like Democrats finally have some momentum!

[Lief 🗽]

Democrats now up to about a 7,000 absentee ballot returned lead in Iowa.

Not great, but at least better than it was last week.

And the Republican lead in Florida continues to drop, down to 5.9% today from 6.4% yesterday.

[Lief 🗽]

Democrats once again doing well in Florida, bringing the GOP's lead down from 5.9% yesterday to 5.2% today

[Lief 🗽]

In-person early voting is done in Durham, NC: There were a total of 33,291 votes cast this year, an impressive increase of 33.6% over 2010.

Early voting in Orange County, N.C. (that's heavily-Dem Chapel Hill) finishes with 23,195 voters. That's 43% higher than in 2010%!

Dominating!

[Lief 🗽]

3 Million people have now voted in Florida; Democrats have cut the GOP lead to 4.3%, down from 4.8 yesterday

[Lief 🗽]

Day by day ballot returns in Colorado:



Looks like the Democratic Colorado last minute mail-in ballot return wave is building!

[Lief 🗽]

Damn. Terrific work from Hagan's campaign team.

[Lief 🗽]

Anyone know why Iowa hasn't updated their statistics since Thursday?

In Florida, looks like Souls to the Polls was a smashing success today!

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[Lief 🗽]

Souls to the Polls was a HUGE success in Florida yesterday!

GOP lead on absentees/early vote now down to just 3.3%, from 4.3% yesterday!

http://miamiherald.typepad.com/nakedpolitics/2014/11/souls-to-the-polls-gives-dems-major-boost-close-early-vote-gap-to-100k.html

[Lief 🗽]

We're definitely hitting at least 2 million votes if in 2010 we hit 1.77 million. Excellent news that unafilliateds make up more of the electorate than in 2010.

That leads the question... do we know from what decent polling we have, where the indy's votes are going?

Udall leads indies 46-37 according to PPP. But party registration and party ID are of course different things, so it's hard to tell.

[Lief 🗽]

CO update:

1,504,940 votes counted, R: 40.18, D: 32.11


Next update in 3 minutes.

Where do you get these updates?

[Lief 🗽]

I can see CO turning into an all-nighter (which would be fun).

I definitely think the margin is going to be less than 1% there either way. Probably won't know the winner for a few days.

[Lief 🗽]

Just a postmortem on Colorado: final party registration looks to have been R +5.4.