NY-11 (NY 1 News/Siena College): Grimm (R)+4
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  NY-11 (NY 1 News/Siena College): Grimm (R)+4
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Author Topic: NY-11 (NY 1 News/Siena College): Grimm (R)+4  (Read 847 times)
cinyc
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« on: September 16, 2014, 06:05:50 PM »

NY 1 News/Capital New York/Siena College Research Institute poll of NY-11

Grimm (R) 44%
Recchia (D) 40%
Bardel (G) 4%
Undecided 12%

September 9-14, 2014; 585 likely voters; MoE +/- 4%
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: September 16, 2014, 06:09:59 PM »
« Edited: September 16, 2014, 06:13:07 PM by cinyc »

The gubernatorial race is 60-28-3 Cuomo/Astorino/Hawkins.  There is little appetite for the Green party candidate in most of NYC.

Crosstabs here.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #2 on: September 16, 2014, 06:20:43 PM »

Terrible. Allowing the people of Staten Island to elect their own leaders was always going to be a huge mistake.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #3 on: September 16, 2014, 06:39:09 PM »

Dear god. How is Recchia blowing this so badly? this should be an easy seat. I'd either be a Recchia or Bardel voter.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #4 on: September 16, 2014, 06:42:10 PM »

That Green Party candidate is inflated. This should not surprise anyone, really, Republicans are going to turn out and they'll vote for anyone that has an R by their name. With that said, this is hardly out of reach, Grimm is still in danger and I expect him to lose.
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cinyc
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« Reply #5 on: September 16, 2014, 06:47:07 PM »

Dear god. How is Recchia blowing this so badly? this should be an easy seat. I'd either be a Recchia or Bardel voter.

He's not a good fit for the district.  Recchia is from Brooklyn, not Staten Island, and is too liberal for the district.
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henster
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« Reply #6 on: September 16, 2014, 06:52:05 PM »

It looks like it will be a two year rental for this seat if Recchia wins.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #7 on: September 16, 2014, 06:55:56 PM »

Dear god. How is Recchia blowing this so badly? this should be an easy seat. I'd either be a Recchia or Bardel voter.

He's not a good fit for the district. 

I'd hate to live in a district where you have to be an indicted criminal to fit in.
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KCDem
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« Reply #8 on: September 16, 2014, 06:57:44 PM »

Dear god. How is Recchia blowing this so badly? this should be an easy seat. I'd either be a Recchia or Bardel voter.

This is Siena we're talking about. Their congressional polls have an awful track record.
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cinyc
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« Reply #9 on: September 16, 2014, 07:03:43 PM »

This is Siena we're talking about. Their congressional polls have an awful track record.

According to Politico, internal polling from both sides says the same thing - Grimm has a slight lead.
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KCDem
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« Reply #10 on: September 16, 2014, 07:22:43 PM »

This is Siena we're talking about. Their congressional polls have an awful track record.

According to Politico, internal polling from both sides says the same thing - Grimm has a slight lead.

Politico isn't a reliable news source.
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cinyc
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« Reply #11 on: September 16, 2014, 07:54:33 PM »

Politico isn't a reliable news source.

Yeah, I'm sure Politico is lying about internals.  Because the candidates couldn't raise a stink about bad reporting and just release their internals to prove them wrong.  They'd just let a false narrative lie.

What is a reliable news source to you?  Daily Kos?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: September 16, 2014, 08:31:58 PM »
« Edited: September 16, 2014, 11:58:35 PM by IceSpear »

This poll has 27% of Democrats voting for Grimm...LOL

And just looked at the crosstabs. It has 41% of Democrats backing the repeal of Obamacare. HAHAHAHAHA. Staten Island might be eccentric, but it's not West Virginia. This poll is pure horse manure.
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cinyc
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« Reply #13 on: September 17, 2014, 06:08:59 PM »

This poll has 27% of Democrats voting for Grimm...LOL

And just looked at the crosstabs. It has 41% of Democrats backing the repeal of Obamacare. HAHAHAHAHA. Staten Island might be eccentric, but it's not West Virginia. This poll is pure horse manure.

Staten Island has plenty of DINOs who only register as Democrats to have a voice in citywide and statewide primary elections and older people who simply haven't changed their registration as Democrats strayed farther and farther to the left.  It is not the Upper West Side.

And, as I said, BOTH candidates' internal polling agrees with this poll.
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KCDem
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« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2014, 01:39:49 AM »

Recchia will soon retire the Todd Akin of Staten Island.
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Torie
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« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2014, 10:37:47 AM »
« Edited: September 18, 2014, 10:45:12 AM by Torie »

God bless NY, where politics and office holding is just another capitalist driven enterprise, where everything is for sale, and sometimes at a really good price, an example of which just came down right here in beautiful, politically dysfunctional, and old boy networked up on steroids, Columbia County! Illinois and Louisiana I know are proud of their reputations as being uniquely corrupt, but methinks NY may be the fairest of them all in that department.

Oh yes, there are tons of closeted Pubs in NY - heck of the 11 members on the Common Council of Hudson, I suspect at least 3 are closet Pubs, and maybe as many as 5. There is but one out of the closet Pub out of the gang of 11, and that works well, because it makes him Minority Leader, and holding  that little title, puts him automatically on two powerful Boards. And that is a beautiful thing, because if I run at some point, in a largely Pub free Ward, I can point out that my party registration will be good for the Ward, because it will give me more power to cater to its interests as Minority Leader. Life is beautiful. Smiley
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