Who will win in Arizona?

[LeBron]

Ducey. This race sort of reminds of AZ-Sen 2006; even though we have a little bit of slight optimism for an upset here, I wouldn't count on our chances here, and really wouldn't put a lot of money into this race.

Ducey is the Palin/Cruz candidate and is a sociocon so there's room for a gaffe and DuVal could win this, but Ducey has a lot of money and DuVal is far from the strongest candidate AZ Dems could have gotten. Also, if I remember correctly, one of the old PPP polls from here earlier this year had undecided's in this race saying they voted for Romney by a 31-19 margin, so even though it's tight now, a lot of undecided's will come home to Ducey.