KY: Gravis: McConnell opens 10-point lead
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Author Topic: KY: Gravis: McConnell opens 10-point lead  (Read 1750 times)
Miles
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« on: September 18, 2014, 09:41:40 AM »

Article.

McConnell (R)- 51%
Grimes (D)- 41%
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backtored
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« Reply #1 on: September 18, 2014, 09:50:53 AM »

Hopefully it is become more evident to people why folks like Stu Rothenberg projected a GOP wave. When races start to "break," after the RV to LV switch, they start to favor Republicans.  Not every poll and every race, but there is a clear trendline that we've been seeing and it isn't good for Democrats.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #2 on: September 18, 2014, 10:23:18 AM »

I was actually worried, until I saw it was just Gravis.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: September 18, 2014, 11:07:50 AM »

Hopefully it is become more evident to people why folks like Stu Rothenberg projected a GOP wave. When races start to "break," after the RV to LV switch, they start to favor Republicans.  Not every poll and every race, but there is a clear trendline that we've been seeing and it isn't good for Democrats.

Because a Gravis poll showing a lead for an incumbent Republican in Kentucky definitley means "wave".
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Beet
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« Reply #4 on: September 18, 2014, 11:39:55 AM »

We should have just run Ashley Judd for this seat. At least it would have generated more publicity.
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Person Man
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« Reply #5 on: September 18, 2014, 11:55:01 AM »

Hopefully it is become more evident to people why folks like Stu Rothenberg projected a GOP wave. When races start to "break," after the RV to LV switch, they start to favor Republicans.  Not every poll and every race, but there is a clear trendline that we've been seeing and it isn't good for Democrats.

So yeah, Republicans could win 8, 9 or even 10 seats in the Senate.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #6 on: September 18, 2014, 12:03:36 PM »

I doubt the lead is that big, but it's definitely starting to look like this is lean GOP or even likely GOP unless McConnell makes a big gaffe.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #7 on: September 18, 2014, 12:06:06 PM »

I doubt the lead is that big, but it's definitely starting to look like this is lean GOP or even likely GOP unless McConnell makes a big gaffe.

He makes a big gaffe almost every day. For instance, he said Israel has a dome. And now he's attacking Grimes's deceased grandfather.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: September 18, 2014, 12:41:01 PM »

Hopefully it is become more evident to people why folks like Stu Rothenberg projected a GOP wave. When races start to "break," after the RV to LV switch, they start to favor Republicans.  Not every poll and every race, but there is a clear trendline that we've been seeing and it isn't good for Democrats.

Don't get too excited bro, it's Gravis. McConnell is still only up by 4-5 at the moment.
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Smash255
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« Reply #9 on: September 18, 2014, 01:40:19 PM »

 McConnell has a clear advantage at this point, but isn't up 10.
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Never
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« Reply #10 on: September 18, 2014, 02:00:32 PM »

I doubt the lead is that big, but it's definitely starting to look like this is lean GOP or even likely GOP unless McConnell makes a big gaffe.

He makes a big gaffe almost every day. For instance, he said Israel has a dome. And now he's attacking Grimes's deceased grandfather.

Huh But it does...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Dome

Anyhow, while I also doubt that McConnell is leading by 10 points (and Gravis definitely isn't reputable by any stretch), at this point it seems pretty clear that he's moved this race out of the tossup category. I agree with Ray that this Senate race is Lean Republican at the very least.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #11 on: September 18, 2014, 02:06:50 PM »

I doubt the lead is that big, but it's definitely starting to look like this is lean GOP or even likely GOP unless McConnell makes a big gaffe.

He makes a big gaffe almost every day. For instance, he said Israel has a dome. And now he's attacking Grimes's deceased grandfather.

Huh But it does...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Dome

The Iron Dome isn't literally a dome like McConnell thinks it is.
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Never
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« Reply #12 on: September 18, 2014, 02:10:26 PM »

I doubt the lead is that big, but it's definitely starting to look like this is lean GOP or even likely GOP unless McConnell makes a big gaffe.

He makes a big gaffe almost every day. For instance, he said Israel has a dome. And now he's attacking Grimes's deceased grandfather.

Huh But it does...

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iron_Dome

The Iron Dome isn't literally a dome like McConnell thinks it is.

Okay, could you link me to that then? I looked up "Mitch McConnell iron dome" on Google News when typing my previous post, and nothing about those kinds of comments came up.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #13 on: September 18, 2014, 02:27:31 PM »

Okay, could you link me to that then? I looked up "Mitch McConnell iron dome" on Google News when typing my previous post, and nothing about those kinds of comments came up.

Grimes stated that the Iron Dome had defended Israel from attacks. Then McConnell said that was impossible because it was just a big dome.
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Never
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« Reply #14 on: September 18, 2014, 02:33:29 PM »

Okay, could you link me to that then? I looked up "Mitch McConnell iron dome" on Google News when typing my previous post, and nothing about those kinds of comments came up.

Grimes stated that the Iron Dome had defended Israel from attacks. Then McConnell said that was impossible because it was just a big dome.

Is there at outside source for these comments from the candidates, so I could take a look at the direct quotes?
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #15 on: September 18, 2014, 02:42:47 PM »

McConnell is going to win, no matter what Gravis says.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #16 on: September 18, 2014, 02:47:07 PM »

Okay, could you link me to that then? I looked up "Mitch McConnell iron dome" on Google News when typing my previous post, and nothing about those kinds of comments came up.

Grimes stated that the Iron Dome had defended Israel from attacks. Then McConnell said that was impossible because it was just a big dome.

Is there at outside source for these comments from the candidates, so I could take a look at the direct quotes?

http://www.kentucky.com/2014/07/29/3357293_grimes-opens-lexington-office.html?rh=1
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Never
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« Reply #17 on: September 18, 2014, 03:07:25 PM »
« Edited: September 18, 2014, 05:32:23 PM by Never »

Okay, could you link me to that then? I looked up "Mitch McConnell iron dome" on Google News when typing my previous post, and nothing about those kinds of comments came up.

Grimes stated that the Iron Dome had defended Israel from attacks. Then McConnell said that was impossible because it was just a big dome.

Is there at outside source for these comments from the candidates, so I could take a look at the direct quotes?

http://www.kentucky.com/2014/07/29/3357293_grimes-opens-lexington-office.html?rh=1

Thanks for sharing.

Well, I see Grimes' comments from July voicing support of the Dome, but it appears as if it is Grimes herself who received some criticism from Republicans for her apparent implication that the Dome is able to prevent terrorists from tunneling into Israel, something that the system is not capable of. I don't see how that's a major gaffe for McConnell, considering the Grimes campaign saw it fitting to clarify the comments.

http://www.kentucky.com/2014/07/30/3358118_republicans-seize-on-iron-dome.html?rh=1

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http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/07/30/alison-grimes-iron-dome_n_5633500.html

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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #18 on: September 18, 2014, 04:00:29 PM »

>Gravis, but coming home effect starting to happen regardless.
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jfern
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« Reply #19 on: September 18, 2014, 04:17:17 PM »

Hopefully it is become more evident to people why folks like Stu Rothenberg projected a GOP wave. When races start to "break," after the RV to LV switch, they start to favor Republicans.  Not every poll and every race, but there is a clear trendline that we've been seeing and it isn't good for Democrats.

Because a Gravis poll showing a lead for an incumbent Republican in Kentucky definitley means "wave".

2006 was wave bigger than Earth for the Republicans since they got 74% in the Maine Senate race.
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eric82oslo
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« Reply #20 on: September 18, 2014, 05:30:53 PM »

Okay, could you link me to that then? I looked up "Mitch McConnell iron dome" on Google News when typing my previous post, and nothing about those kinds of comments came up.

Grimes stated that the Iron Dome had defended Israel from attacks. Then McConnell said that was impossible because it was just a big dome.

Was he thinking of the Dome of the Rock?

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Suburbia
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« Reply #21 on: September 23, 2014, 05:44:29 PM »

McConnell may be lucky to win reelection, although he's unpopular, he's still leading in the polls.
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Vega
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« Reply #22 on: September 23, 2014, 06:33:56 PM »

Gravis is the new Rasmussen.
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