AR: Hickman (D): Pryor narrowly ahead (user search)
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  AR: Hickman (D): Pryor narrowly ahead (search mode)
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Author Topic: AR: Hickman (D): Pryor narrowly ahead  (Read 1962 times)
Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30
« on: September 22, 2014, 10:33:22 PM »
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Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30
« Reply #1 on: September 23, 2014, 09:11:16 AM »
« Edited: September 23, 2014, 09:28:29 AM by Never »
Quote from: Joshua on September 22, 2014, 11:26:55 PM
Quote from: Miles on September 22, 2014, 11:52:07 AM
Quote from: FreedomHawk on September 22, 2014, 11:37:25 AM
Quote from: Invisible Obama on September 22, 2014, 09:50:11 AM
A lead is a lead. Democratic internals were good in 2012.

If you have a huge confirmation bias maybe

They were decent overall:

North Dakota: Heitkamp +4
Pennsylvania: Casey +12
Missouri: McCaskill +13
Indiana: Donnelly +7
Arizona: Carmona +4

PPP aslo did internals for the LCV and found Tester up 2 and Warren up 9.

The Heitkamp poll was a bit generous, but at least it picked the right winner.

The Casey internal also showed a large lead, but Republicans were showing a tied race.

And here come the facts, barreling out of nowhere...

If this internal from Arkansas is as accurate as the Democratic one from Arizona in 2012 that Miles linked, I don't think it's a good idea to be so optimistic about Pryor actually having a lead or anything. Democratic internals aren't always accurate.
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