AR: Hickman (D): Pryor narrowly ahead (user search)

DrScholl
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Posts: 18,146

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E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Re: AR: Hickman (D): Pryor narrowly ahead

« on: September 22, 2014, 09:50:11 AM »

A lead is a lead. Democratic internals were good in 2012.

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DrScholl
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Posts: 18,146

Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Re: AR: Hickman (D): Pryor narrowly ahead

« Reply #1 on: September 22, 2014, 11:54:06 AM »

Quote from: FreedomHawk on September 22, 2014, 11:37:25 AM

Quote from: Invisible Obama on September 22, 2014, 09:50:11 AM

A lead is a lead. Democratic internals were good in 2012.

If you have a huge confirmation bias maybe. There's a reason this isn't in RCP

Internals don't usually get included in averages anywhere, but that doesn't mean they are necessarily inaccurate.

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DrScholl
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Posts: 18,146

Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Re: AR: Hickman (D): Pryor narrowly ahead

« Reply #2 on: September 23, 2014, 08:50:02 AM »

Quote from: ElectionsGuy on September 22, 2014, 10:19:07 PM

Quote from: FreedomHawk on September 22, 2014, 11:36:54 AM

Quote from: JRP1994 on September 22, 2014, 09:24:01 AM

Within the margin of error in a freaking DSCC poll?

Advantage Cotton.

Quote from: Invisible Obama on September 22, 2014, 09:50:11 AM

A lead is a lead. Democratic internals were good in 2012.

Dem internal = facts are facts
GOP internal = made up numbers

Gotcha.

Did you not see how off GOP internals were in 2012? They used completely unrealistic screens and ended up with terrible results, even Romney's campaign had terrible polling. On the other hand, Democratic internals were more accurate.

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