Senate control
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March 29, 2024, 08:35:33 AM
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  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Senate control
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Poll
Question: Who wins the Senate?
#1
Democrats
 
#2
Republicans
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 54

Author Topic: Senate control  (Read 1929 times)
Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #25 on: September 28, 2014, 05:00:40 PM »

Actually the first five GOP seats to win seems just like it did about a year ago. The order in the top three and four and five has shifted, but it seems that West Virginia, Montana and South Dakota, followed by Arkansas/Alaska, Alaska/Arkansas. I like what is happening in Iowa and feel better about winning it then Colorado, but it is hard not to paint CO as seventh or eighth now and certainly ahead of NC, possibly even LA.

As for NC, Tillis would likely be the 54 or 55th GOP Senator at this point and right now I am feeling good about the 51-53 seat range.

I will hold off on considering the Kansas situation until I see some more polling now that the GOP has begun to take it seriously.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #26 on: September 28, 2014, 05:08:07 PM »
« Edited: September 28, 2014, 05:12:50 PM by OC »

5 seats will probably go and Begich and Braley and Udall are tied or slightly behind. I called it 50/50 & I am sticking to it. What will happen if there is a tied sentate or a GOP majoriry?


For now, Dems win CO, IA, MI, NC and AK or La should Landrieu cross 50 percent by election day.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #27 on: September 28, 2014, 05:20:24 PM »

5 seats will probably go and Begich and Braley and Udall are tied or slightly behind. I called it 50/50 & I am sticking to it. What will happen if there is a tied sentate or a GOP majoriry?


For now, Dems win CO, IA, MI, NC and AK or La should Landrieu cross 50 percent by election day.

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #28 on: September 28, 2014, 05:33:20 PM »

Yeah with 5 weaks left I am not conceiding anything to the GOP.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #29 on: September 28, 2014, 05:35:13 PM »

I believe we have found the Democratic Dick Morris, folks.
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Torie
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« Reply #30 on: September 28, 2014, 05:42:00 PM »

You know what the Chinese consider the luckiest number don't you? Yep, eight, and the Chinese are slowly taking over the planet. Heck, a Chinese photographer just bought the old Polish Catholic church at the end of my block to display his work. They're coming!

You mean like the Japanese in the 1980s?

The Japanese were but a one night stand as it were. The Chinese just move in. Smiley  A tad more seriously, the Chinese with money think the quality of life in China sucks at the moment, and just can't wait to get out. The Japanese were never of that mind set, most of them.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #31 on: September 28, 2014, 05:51:16 PM »

I've had this at Dems 50% or higher most of this whole cycle, but this is officially the point where I think Republicans take the Senate. I feel comfortable in calling at least R favored in WV, SD, MT, AR, AK, LA for and R+6, and a win in at least 1 of Colorado or Iowa (negating the effect of an Orman win in KS), bringing it to R+7 or R+8
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #32 on: September 28, 2014, 09:40:07 PM »

It's now not a question of whether Republicans win control, it's a question of how big their majority will be. Can they get a filibuster proof majority? Maybe a veto-proof one?

Even if Republicans won every single senate race - every single one - they'd still be one seat short of a veto proof majority - unless King were to start caucusing with them as well.

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On Topic: 55%/45% in favor of the republicans.
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