Preliminary 2016 Senate Race Rankings - No Tossups (user search)
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  Preliminary 2016 Senate Race Rankings - No Tossups (search mode)
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Author Topic: Preliminary 2016 Senate Race Rankings - No Tossups  (Read 6517 times)
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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Posts: 10,003
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« on: September 28, 2014, 10:39:57 PM »
Why such confidence in Johnson's defeat; and is that based on the assumption that Hassan challenges Ayotte?
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,003
Latvia


« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2014, 11:18:11 PM »
My two cents:

Likely GOP (To pretend to have ~100% certainty of events so far in the future is preposterous; I would say these are all >90% probability)
Every GOP seat not listed below

Advantage GOP (60-90% confidence)
Arizona
Florida
Georgia
Kentucky
New Hampshire
North Carolina
Ohio

Tossup
Colorado
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

Advantage DEM
Nevada
Illinois

Likely DEM
All unlisted DEM seats

Expectation: D+3
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