Who is likelier to win reelection?

[Vosem]

Legitimately curious as to what the forum has to say on this one, since they seem to be at about the same place. I think Walker, but Quinn is definitely a defensible answer.

[Illuminati Blood Drinker]

Walker, if only for the fact that he hasn't had a consistent polling deficit.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Quinn. The WI race is more volatile, Burke still has a path to victory. The votes in IL are less movable and will come home to Papa Pat like they already have started to.

[ElectionsGuy]

Walker, obviously

[Lief 🗽]

Talk to me after tomorrow's Marquette poll. But Democrats traditionally close very strongly in Wisconsin.

[Vega]

Quinn.

[President Johnson]

It's almost a tie. A few months ago I thought that Quinn is finished, but his poll numbers improved significantly during the past two months. It seems to be a 50-50 in both states.

[dmmidmi]

Legitimately curious as to what the forum has to say on this one, since they seem to be at about the same place. I think Walker, but Quinn is definitely a defensible answer.

Pretty much this.

[KingSweden]

Walker, though I think they both will be reelected (unfortunately, I don't care for either one).

[IceSpear]

Walker

[Eraserhead]

Quinn of course. You guys are nuts.

That said both of them will probably win.

[Bojack Horseman]

Scott Walker.

[SWE]

Walker

[World politics is up Schmitt creek]

Unfortunately Walker, but both of them probably will.

[Clermont County GOPer]

Walker

[TDAS04]

Probably Walker, but I think Quinn will win too. 

[MATTROSE94]

Probably Walker, but I think Quinn will win too. 

[Mr. Illini]

Went with Quinn because of Wisconsin's unpredictability

[Podgy the Bear]

Quinn will hold on (somewhat amazingly).  I think that Walker could be upset--as noted in an earlier post, the Democrats tend to finish strongly in Wisconsin.

[Chilltown]

Walker, but both will win.

[Eraserhead]

Here's another question - which race will be called first on election night?

Keep in the mind that the polls stay open an hour later in Wisconsin than they do in Illinois.

[eric82oslo]

Quinn, obviously.

Quinn is ahead in Illinois polls at the moment, while Walker is at best tied. Walker has a female opponent, Quinn does not. Female voters will make up 52-53% of voters in both states. Young women will almost uniamously vote for Burke, perhaps by an 80-20 margin.

[Flake]

Quinn, obviously.

Quinn is ahead in Illinois polls at the moment, while Walker is at best tied. Walker has a female opponent, Quinn does not. Female voters will make up 52-53% of voters in both states. Young women will almost uniamously vote for Burke, perhaps by an 80-20 margin.

lol

[Maxwell]

Quinn, obviously.

Quinn is ahead in Illinois polls at the moment, while Walker is at best tied. Walker has a female opponent, Quinn does not. Female voters will make up 52-53% of voters in both states. Young women will almost uniamously vote for Burke, perhaps by an 80-20 margin.

Do you even read polls? Quinn is only ahead 2. Walker, with the gold standard poll in Wisconsin, is up 5. Come on dude.

[eric82oslo]

Quinn, obviously.

Quinn is ahead in Illinois polls at the moment, while Walker is at best tied. Walker has a female opponent, Quinn does not. Female voters will make up 52-53% of voters in both states. Young women will almost uniamously vote for Burke, perhaps by an 80-20 margin.

lol

It could happen, though 70-30 is probably more realistic. It also depends on what you define as young. That would be women under 30 or under 35.

Also: Wait for the exit polls before starting to laugh. Burke is an extremely competent candidate, one of the most comeptent Democratic candidates up for election in any state in 2016 in fact. Also, Wisconsin is not Mississippi, although it might come as a great shock to you. Wisconsin has some of the longest and strongest liberal traditions of any US state.