KY-Mellman Group (D): Grimes-internal has her ahead by 2

[Tender Branson]

1800 likely voters, September 19-27, 2014:

42% Grimes
40% McConnell
  3% Lib-guy

http://images.politico.com/global/2014/09/30/mellman_92914.html

[Knives]

Doubt it. Doubt it very much.

[Lief 🗽]

Mellman is good, but I doubt it unfortunately. Pretty telling that they're not pushing undecideds harder.

[Gass3268]

Mellman is good, but I doubt it unfortunately. Pretty telling that they're not pushing undecideds harder.

Agreed, they were the only pollster to give Reid a lead in 2010, but this race seems to far out there.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

I am skeptical, too, but last poll hsd it 4 pts, I am not counting Grimes iut.

[DrScholl]

It's better than a tie, which is what internals will show sometimes. Democratic internals are usually very good.

[free my dawg]

Sounds too good to be true. A little too many undecideds for my taste.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Doubt it. Doubt it very much.

I don't doubt it at all.

I think there's a very real chance that the Republicans can actually win the Senate even with McConnell losing.

If so, who becomes Majority Leader?

[The Other Castro]

Doubt it. Doubt it very much.

I don't doubt it at all.

I think there's a very real chance that the Republicans can actually win the Senate even with McConnell losing.

If so, who becomes Majority Leader?

Cornyn

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Doubt it. Doubt it very much.

I don't doubt it at all.

I think there's a very real chance that the Republicans can actually win the Senate even with McConnell losing.

If so, who becomes Majority Leader?

Cornyn

Provided Orman doesn't force them to choose someone more moderate.

[cinyc]

It's better than a tie, which is what internals will show sometimes. Democratic internals are usually very good.

Internals will say whatever the candidate wants them to.  Get a better sample if you don't push leaners?  Report that number.  Get a better sample if you push leaners?  Report that number.  Get a better sample if you unrealistically weigh the expected Republican turnout?  Report that number.  But don't be transparent and produce cross-tabs or the weighed responses to other questions that might give a clue about your unrealistic sampling.

For that reason internals simply cannot be trusted.

[KCDem]

Glorious news!!!!

[Tender Branson]

SurveyUSA will be out with a new poll later today.

[Tender Branson]

SurveyUSA will be out with a new poll later today.

I have heard rumours that Grimes will take the lead in this one.

Stay tuned !

[DrScholl]

SurveyUSA will be out with a new poll later today.

I have heard rumours that Grimes will take the lead in this one.

Stay tuned !

That would be interesting. It would sure put this race on the front burner again.

[Eraserhead]

Not looking like such a bad poll now...