Predict Margin (%) for IA-Senate
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Author Topic: Predict Margin (%) for IA-Senate  (Read 1105 times)
ElectionsGuy
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E: 7.10, S: -7.65

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« on: October 02, 2014, 04:23:38 PM »
Ernst - 50%
Braley - 48%
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: October 02, 2014, 04:33:32 PM »
This is actually hard.

I'll guess 50-47 Ernst.
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DrScholl
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E: -5.55, S: -3.30

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« Reply #2 on: October 02, 2014, 04:36:46 PM »
Braley 50
Ernst 46
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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E: -4.52, S: -5.91

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« Reply #3 on: October 02, 2014, 05:33:53 PM »
Braley - 49%
Ernst - 48%
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Talleyrand
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« Reply #4 on: October 02, 2014, 05:37:59 PM »
Ernst- 52%
Braley- 46%
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: October 02, 2014, 05:41:48 PM »
Ernst 49
Braley 47
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #6 on: October 02, 2014, 06:44:51 PM »
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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E: 0.84, S: -5.48

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« Reply #7 on: October 02, 2014, 06:58:34 PM »
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Maxwell
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E: -6.45, S: -6.96

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« Reply #8 on: October 02, 2014, 07:25:11 PM »
49 Ernst
48 Braley
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #9 on: October 02, 2014, 09:13:43 PM »
48.00001% Ernst
48% Braley
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Kevin
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« Reply #10 on: October 02, 2014, 10:39:30 PM »
Ernst-51%
Braley-48%
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Flake
Flo
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« Reply #11 on: October 02, 2014, 10:42:22 PM »
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Knives
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« Reply #12 on: October 02, 2014, 10:46:38 PM »
47% Ernst
46% Braley
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KCDem
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« Reply #13 on: October 02, 2014, 10:51:35 PM »
Braley by no less than 3 and no more than 7.
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CrabCake
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« Reply #14 on: October 03, 2014, 06:05:25 AM »
Braley 49
Ernst 48

I think Braley will sqeak by, but don't particularly enjoy the fact that genuinely decent, spirited politicians like Grimes, Begich, Curtis and Bellows are going to steamrollered, while this joker has pissed away his advantage in what should have been a joke race. I hope the other Democrats in the Senate refuse to eat with him in the Congressional cafeteria.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
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« Reply #15 on: October 03, 2014, 06:17:39 AM »
Based on what I see today - Ernst 51%, Braley 47%
Based on what I think will happen over the next month - Braley 50%, Ernst 49%
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Never
Never Convinced
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

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« Reply #16 on: October 03, 2014, 07:48:00 AM »
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SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
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« Reply #17 on: October 03, 2014, 10:05:48 AM »
Ernst 51%
Braley 47%
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TDAS04
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« Reply #18 on: October 03, 2014, 10:09:31 AM »

Reverse that. 
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Del Tachi
Republican95
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E: 0.52, S: 1.46

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« Reply #19 on: October 03, 2014, 12:09:33 PM »
50-48 Ernst
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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E: -6.84, S: -0.17


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« Reply #20 on: October 03, 2014, 01:23:31 PM »
Braley

51-47
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free my dawg
SawxDem
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« Reply #21 on: October 03, 2014, 03:57:05 PM »
Braley 49.7
Ernst 49.1
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MATTROSE94
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E: -5.29, S: -6.43

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« Reply #22 on: October 03, 2014, 04:54:19 PM »
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #23 on: October 04, 2014, 09:03:17 AM »
Ernst 51-46

I think she'll go into the election the expected winner, which hurts Democratic turnout.

She has a strong chance of a career-ending gaffe, but there's only a month to go.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #24 on: October 04, 2014, 10:01:30 AM »
Ernst wins 49-48
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