National Senatorial Poll

[Harry Hayfield]

Commisionned by: Fox News
Dates of sample: September 28th - 30th 2014
Sample Area: Senate Battleground States
Question: If the election for your Senator was held today, how would you vote?

Republican 53%
Democrat 38%

Margin of error: +/- 7%

[Miles]

7% MoE?

Junk poll.

[Maxwell]

7% MoE?

Junk poll.

Yeah, I have to agree with this. Garbage.

[Tender Branson]

30 people polled per state ?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

7% MoE?

Junk poll.

Fox News?

Junk poll.

[IceSpear]

These "battleground aggregate" polls are always worthless trash. Didn't they show Romney winning them by double digits as well?

[moderatevoter]

These "battleground aggregate" polls are always worthless trash. Didn't they show Romney winning them by double digits as well?

Not to mention, did they ask for head-to-head matchup with specific candidates? Or was it a generic "would you vote for a Republican or Democrat for US Senate?"

Obviously, campaign and candidate quality matters.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

KY, Ia, CO, AK, NC looks promising. Incumbants Pryor and Landrieu appear to be the endangered seats.

[Eraserhead]

Oh good lord, this crap again?

I guess it'll make a fine talking point for Sean Hannity and all of the other talking heads who understand nothing about polling.

[Bacon King]

Battleground states: AR, CO, GA, IA, KS, KY, LA, MI, MN, MT, NC, NH, SD and WV

This poll's result: 53% R, 38% D
Three weeks ago: 53% R, 35% D.

RV, this poll: 50% R, 41% D
RV, last poll: 47% R, 37% D.


Also 17% of respondents said there are states they would kick out of the union. Among that group, the states that most wanted to remove:

53% California
25% New York
20% Texas
11% Florida
  7% Washington
  6% Massachusetts


crosstabs: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/02/fox-news-poll-only-24-percent-personally-better-off-gop-has-edge-in-midterms/

[Eraserhead]

Battleground states: AR, CO, GA, IA, KS, KY, LA, MI, MN, MT, NC, NH, SD and WV

This poll's result: 53% R, 38% D
Three weeks ago: 53% R, 35% D.

RV, this poll: 50% R, 41% D
RV, last poll: 47% R, 37% D.


Also 17% of respondents said there are states they would kick out of the union. Among that group, the states that most wanted to remove:

53% California
25% New York
20% Texas
11% Florida
  7% Washington
  6% Massachusetts


crosstabs: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/02/fox-news-poll-only-24-percent-personally-better-off-gop-has-edge-in-midterms/

I wonder how many of them confused Washington State with Washington DC?

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Also 17% of respondents said there are states they would kick out of the union. Among that group, the states that most wanted to remove:
53% California

They'd soon be whining about the money the federal government would lose, since California sends more to the treasury than we get back.

Just like how the hick and redneck counties in the north and east discovered they'd be screwed without Sacramento cutting them checks if they seceded from the state.


Anyway,there are too many local dynamics in this year's races (education in NC, family names in AR and LA, independent in Kansas, McConnell's unpopularity yet getting red state boost) for national senate polls to be significant this year.

[eric82oslo]

Anyway,there are too many local dynamics in this year's races (education in NC, family names in AR and LA, independent in Kansas, McConnell's unpopularity yet getting red state boost) for national senate polls to be significant this year.

You forgot family names in Alaska and Georgia as well.

[eric82oslo]

Battleground states: AR, CO, GA, IA, KS, KY, LA, MI, MN, MT, NC, NH, SD and WV

This poll's result: 53% R, 38% D
Three weeks ago: 53% R, 35% D.

RV, this poll: 50% R, 41% D
RV, last poll: 47% R, 37% D.


Also 17% of respondents said there are states they would kick out of the union. Among that group, the states that most wanted to remove:

53% California
25% New York
20% Texas
11% Florida
  7% Washington
  6% Massachusetts


crosstabs: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/02/fox-news-poll-only-24-percent-personally-better-off-gop-has-edge-in-midterms/

I wonder how many of them confused Washington State with Washington DC?

Probably 9 out of 10.

I'm surprised not more people wanted to kick out Vermont and Hawaii, even Maryland. Or maybe they simply didn't want their dream holiday spot to become a foreign country?

[Zanas]

Battleground states: AR, CO, GA, IA, KS, KY, LA, MI, MN, MT, NC, NH, SD and WV

This poll's result: 53% R, 38% D
Three weeks ago: 53% R, 35% D.

RV, this poll: 50% R, 41% D
RV, last poll: 47% R, 37% D.


Also 17% of respondents said there are states they would kick out of the union. Among that group, the states that most wanted to remove:

53% California
25% New York
20% Texas
11% Florida
  7% Washington
  6% Massachusetts


crosstabs: http://www.foxnews.com/politics/interactive/2014/10/02/fox-news-poll-only-24-percent-personally-better-off-gop-has-edge-in-midterms/

I wonder how many of them confused Washington State with Washington DC?

Probably 9 out of 10.

I'm surprised not more people wanted to kick out Vermont and Hawaii, even Maryland. Or maybe they simply didn't want their dream holiday spot to become a foreign country?

I'm not sure all respondents have even heard of Vermont or Maryland... I guess they would have heard of Hawaii but it's a cool looking sunny place so why kick them out ?