CT-PPP: Malloy +8 (user search)
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  CT-PPP: Malloy +8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: CT-PPP: Malloy +8  (Read 5111 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« on: October 06, 2014, 01:29:47 PM »

Massive Outlier. Goes to the trash until another reliable pollster confirms it.
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Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #1 on: October 06, 2014, 01:41:26 PM »

Massive Outlier. Goes to the trash until another reliable pollster confirms it.

I doubt it. PPP is really good in October. And we all thought the Trib poll showing Quinn up ten was crazy until more polls showed him leading. Same thing with Ernst and Gardner. These are warning shots.  Maybe it isn't eight points, but I bet Malloy really is leading.

Why, Connecticut, why?
The trib poll was a joke - it showed Quinn up 11. If we average the polls taken after it, the result is actually a Rauner lead of 0.3%

Here's all the IL-Gov Polls: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illinois_gubernatorial_election,_2014#General_election

Malloy may be leading, but he's definitely not leading by 8.


Logged
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #2 on: October 06, 2014, 01:46:24 PM »

Too bad nobody besides YouCrap is gonna bother polling Connecticut to confirm or deny this.
I wouldn't be surprised to see another Quinnipiac poll here. Maybe Rasmussen. I don't think SUSA/Suffolk/Ipsos etc. will, but no way to know for sure.
Logged
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,720
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

« Reply #3 on: October 06, 2014, 08:57:28 PM »

PPP is labeled a gold standard when Republicans are leading, but it's back to being a hack firm when a Democrat is up. Interesting.0

It's because it doesn't remotely line up with anything else. Essentially every poll of this race has showed Foley tied or ahead. The only exceptions are YouGov and Vox Populi, but even in those the Malloy lead was 1-2, not 8.
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