CT-PPP: Malloy +8

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Not surprising. I suspect the same thing will happen in Hawaii and is happening in Kansas and Illinois. Nutmeg State voters are realizing that Foley is, after all, a Republican.

It's too bad, though. People in Connecticut don't like where the state is going and want a new governor. I'd prefer somebody more conservative, but Foley isn't a bad choice at all compared to the incumbent.

Watch Connecticut and Illinois lose more and more capital to Texas and North Carolina.

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Massive Outlier. Goes to the trash until another reliable pollster confirms it.

I doubt it. PPP is really good in October. And we all thought the Trib poll showing Quinn up ten was crazy until more polls showed him leading. Same thing with Ernst and Gardner. These are warning shots.  Maybe it isn't eight points, but I bet Malloy really is leading.

Why, Connecticut, why?

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Massive Outlier. Goes to the trash until another reliable pollster confirms it.

I doubt it. PPP is really good in October. And we all thought the Trib poll showing Quinn up ten was crazy until more polls showed him leading. Same thing with Ernst and Gardner in the Quinnipiac poll. These are warning shots.  Maybe it isn't eight points, but I bet Malloy really is leading.

Why, Connecticut, why?

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Where are Visconti voters likely to go?

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Where are Visconti voters likely to go?

They are Foley-heavy, Foley trails by 6 rather than 8 if Visconti is removed.

RCP entered the Visconti-removed numbers, but it's strange to see Foley only gaining 2 if Visconti's 9 are taken out.

Who are the Foley and Visconti voters demographically, ideologically, etc.? Are the Visconti people libertarians, unhappy Democrats, what?