2007 Scottish Parliamentary Election by ward (spreadsheet)

[afleitch]

I have decided to record these results (I made a mess of an earlier attempt) despite them being old, because the data to allow me to do so; polling districts etc will start to become out of date. It’s already becoming difficult. There are caveats to the results of course. Polling boxes split between wards are split equally between them. This only effects a few dozen votes each way and doesn’t happen that often. In many seats it doesn’t happen at all. Postal votes, which are collated by constituency only, are split proportionately however so if the party vote across three wards is 150-100-50, then if there are 100 postal votes cast for that party they are split 50-33-17; i.e the same proportion as the party vote split across the wards.

Tables are as follows

CON - LAB - LIB - SNP - IND

Part 1.

Argyll and Bute

Cowal   770   453   835   1278    Dunoon   571   604   777   1383    Helensburgh and Lomond South   873   1104   469   720   23 Helensburgh Central   1124   1501   664   914   23 Isle of Bute   457   422   1132   1087    Kintyre and the Islands   594   394   1220   919    Lomond North   816   1277   426   925   26 Mid Argyll   702   488   1209   1195    Oban North and Lorn   1151   593   1608   1697    Oban South and the Isles    600   536   1485   1462    South Kintyre   697   645   829   882

Starting off with something rural (and interesting). Here you can see quite a mixed picture. Labour top the poll in 3 wards in the Helensburgh area. In local elections, they are nowhere to be seen but at Holyrood level, with these areas being in the Dumbarton seat, they seem to be comfortable voting Labour. Or at least for Jackie Baillie, who held on here in 2011. In Argyll and Bute which was a narrow SNP gain in 2007, they lead in areas on the periphery of the seat; Cowal and Dunoon, as well as Oban North and South Kintyre. The Lib Dems lead elsewhere.

West Dunbartonshire

Clydebank Central   288   3254   348   2030    Clydebank Waterfront   385   2933   381   2104    Dumbarton   760   3168   660   2484   105 Kilpatrick   299   2455   264   1515    Leven   612   2668   716   2874   88 Lomond   545   1930   484   2148   44

Labour take the spoils here but the SNP lead in Leven and Lomond; more radical areas that have occasionally sent Trots to the local council.

East Dunbartonshire

Bearsden North   1559   1485   1276   1576   42   189 Bearsden South   1763   1669   1530   1700   118   717 Bishopbriggs North and Torrance   1215   2014   773   1594   120   1496 Bishopbriggs South   520   1954   489   1061   74   906 Campsie and Kirkintilloch North   439   1762   618   1135   102   1391 Kirkintilloch East and Twechar   390   2431   354   1272   112   1118 Lenzie and Kirkintilloch South   988   1768   736   1302   207   925 Milngavie   1353   1955   1339   1665

This chart has five columns. The fifth column is a separate tab for then sitting independent MSP, Dr Jean Hunter.

There are some four way marginal here. The SNP top the poll in Bearsden North which straddled two seats, just a mere 17 votes ahead of the Conservatives. Despite being fourth in the Strathkelvin and Bearsden seat overall, the Tories manage to come first in Bearsden South in a close four way finish. Labour came first in all the other wards, with Dr Turner coming in second in Campsie.

North Lanarkshire

Abronhill, Kildrum and the Village   269   2480   392   2913    Airdrie Central   487   1932   343   2486   267 Airdrie North   701   2565   402   3504   305 Airdrie South   384   2331   289   2115   179 Bellshill   379   2514   210   1651   183 Coatbridge North and Glenboig   568   2634   354   2084   1044 Coatbridge South   298   2307   215   1438   509 Coatbridge West   198   2541   165   1309   567 Cumbernauld North   586   3534   613   3213    Cumbernauld South   337   3333   434   2970    Fortissat   524   3083   241   1469   121 Kilsyth   255   3325   231   1497    Mossend and Holytown   370   2253   192   1365   234 Motherwell North   368   3447   328   1554   624 Motherwell South East and Ravenscraig   470   2808   434   1501   659 Motherwell West   495   2162   355   1352   621 Murdostoun   574   3823   433   1794   669 Strathkelvin   788   3761   521   2101   414 Thorniewood   422   3190   339   1503   189 Wishaw   460   3587   414   1867   866

There were two closely fought seats here in 2007; Cumbernauld and Kilsyth and Airdrie. While Labour retained both, the SNP won in one ward in Cumbernauld and Airdrie Central and Airdrie North.

South Lanarkshire

Avondale and Stonehouse   1434   2187   633   2770    Bellshill   379   2514   210   1651   183 Blantyre   473   3118   301   1614   942 Bothwell and Uddingston   1179   1906   590   1375   171 Cambuslang East   357   2150   712   1122   119 Cambuslang West   720   2191   1600   1284   124 Clydesdale East   1611   1424   529   1798    Clydesdale North   1051   2287   671   1677    Clydesdale South   791   2780   400   1846    Clydesdale West   1170   3249   745   2657    East Kilbride Central North   621   3518   672   2676    East Kilbride Central South   444   3070   509   2369    East Kilbride East   526   2335   427   1969    East Kilbride South   384   2399   394   2369    East Kilbride West   957   2653   623   1999    Hamilton North and East   893   2326   495   1815   235 Hamilton South   951   2884   483   1911   326 Hamilton West and Earnock   854   2985   561   2057   374 Larkhall   846   3398   500   2345   9 Rutherglen Central and North   337   2293   1013   1189   104 Rutherglen South   459   2209   2114   1180   127

Labour everywhere, except a fairly comfortable win for the SNP in Avondale and Stonehouse and in Clydesdale East, where the Tories came third. The most surprising second place result is in Rutherglen South, an oft forgotten piece of relative affluence where the Lib Dems were just 95 votes short of Labour.

Glasgow

Anderston/City   435   2529   746   1941   1043 Baillieston   717   5002   631   3104   363 Calton   350   2625   344   1484   116 Canal   554   4310   1068   3055    Craigton   828   6254   842   3479    Drumchapel/Anniesland   736   4463   526   2304    East Centre   617   4931   751   2784   287 Garscadden/Scotstounhill   730   4722   631   2576   292 Govan   552   4483   538   3617   188 Greater Pollok   527   3580   503   2260   11 Hillhead   667   2203   1320   2125   1316 Langside   821   3282   1309   3301   712 Linn   829   3914   1236   2487   587 Maryhill/Kelvin   1311   4079   1219   2990    Newlands/Auldburn   1065   3081   1038   2382   474 North East   452   5232   349   2356   216 Partick West   1706   4179   1613   3577   1531 Pollokshields   946   2895   928   3854   374 Shettleston   653   4106   522   2027   246 Southside Central   392   3560   833   2654   212 Springburn   211   2214   163   1063   88

Predictable but interesting nonetheless. Labour top the vote everywhere except in Pollockshields, in Sturgeon’s Govan seat where the SNP lead. The SNP lead by a hair in Langside, which straddles the same seat. In fact, the notionals for the new Southside seat putting Sturgeon just a few votes behind were too kind. In reality she faced a 500 vote deficit. The SNP run Labour a close second in Hillhead.

[afleitch]

Done.

I'll upload it onto Google Docs once I get it formatted. For now, here is a simple map.

[joevsimp]

nicely done. you can really see how weak the lib dems are outside of their target seats.

are these the constituency votes or the list votes btw, I'd guess constituency from the distribution

[afleitch]

nicely done. you can really see how weak the lib dems are outside of their target seats.

are these the constituency votes or the list votes btw, I'd guess constituency from the distribution

Constituency.

What I found intriguing if that the voting patterns were relatively uniform in rural areas with support for the winning party relatively evenly spread. It was in urban seats that there were pockets of strong second or even third party support.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Loving the friends and neighbours effect in the Western Isles.

[afleitch]

Loving the friends and neighbours effect in the Western Isles.

Here are the Western Isles

51   518   73   859   Barraigh, Bhatarsaigh, Eirisgeigh agus Uibhist a Deas
89   741   92   919   An Taobh Siar agus Nis
97   601   72   557   Beinn na Foghla agus Uibhist a Tuath
106   656   116   755   Loch a Tuath
76   456   94   458   Na Hearadh agus Ceann a Deas nan Loch
62   777   81   545   Sgire an Rubha
86   637   98   777   Sgir'Uige agus Ceann a Tuath nan Loch
86   659   130   765   Steòrnabhagh a Deas
99   622   96   719   Steòrnabhagh a Tuath

To make sense of it a little, Labour were two votes behind in Harris. While it is difficult to ascertain for sure, Labour's strongest vote was actually in areas with the strongest 'sabbatarianism' bordering on the Catholic areas; Harris and North Uist (and a little bit in the Stornoway outpost, rather than the town proper), with Barra and South Uist, some of the most Catholic areas of the country giving the SNP it's strongest % vote and Labour it's weakest on the island. This is very much the reverse of the rest of the country.

[bore]

Great work

[afleitch]

Google Docs link:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1n-LJmKpjQKjyBMQM25IxiWmESwSnYJtBIlYds7BzNdc/edit?usp=sharing

[ObserverIE]

Loving the friends and neighbours effect in the Western Isles.

Here are the Western Isles

51   518   73   859   Barraigh, Bhatarsaigh, Eirisgeigh agus Uibhist a Deas
89   741   92   919   An Taobh Siar agus Nis
97   601   72   557   Beinn na Foghla agus Uibhist a Tuath
106   656   116   755   Loch a Tuath
76   456   94   458   Na Hearadh agus Ceann a Deas nan Loch
62   777   81   545   Sgire an Rubha
86   637   98   777   Sgir'Uige agus Ceann a Tuath nan Loch
86   659   130   765   Steòrnabhagh a Deas
99   622   96   719   Steòrnabhagh a Tuath

To make sense of it a little, Labour were two votes behind in Harris. While it is difficult to ascertain for sure, Labour's strongest vote was actually in areas with the strongest 'sabbatarianism' bordering on the Catholic areas; Harris and North Uist (and a little bit in the Stornoway outpost, rather than the town proper), with Barra and South Uist, some of the most Catholic areas of the country giving the SNP it's strongest % vote and Labour it's weakest on the island. This is very much the reverse of the rest of the country.

The successful SNP candidate SNP's Westminster MP is, of course, a Barra Catholic. Càirdean agus coimhearsnaich, as they might say.

[YL]

How much of the Tory strength in Galloway is down to a personal vote for Alex Fergusson?  Stranraer doesn't seem to me to be a likely hotbed of Conservatism.

[Chase776]

This data is fantastic! Where did you find the election results by ward? I am doing research on Scotland and need to find the 2011 election results by ward, can you point me in the right direction? The map and data are fantastic.

Much appreciated!

[afleitch]

This data is fantastic! Where did you find the election results by ward? I am doing research on Scotland and need to find the 2011 election results by ward, can you point me in the right direction? The map and data are fantastic.

Much appreciated!

Unfortunately, it wasn't released. The 2007 results were only possible because they were electronically counted. It's possible to simply apply the 'swing' in each seat to the relevant wards within that seat which might show how the wards might have voted in 2011.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

How much of the Tory strength in Galloway is down to a personal vote for Alex Fergusson?  Stranraer doesn't seem to me to be a likely hotbed of Conservatism.

A fair bit, particularly in the towns. And that's also true of the Upper Nithsdale.

[afleitch]

How much of the Tory strength in Galloway is down to a personal vote for Alex Fergusson?  Stranraer doesn't seem to me to be a likely hotbed of Conservatism.

A fair bit, particularly in the towns. And that's also true of the Upper Nithsdale.

Very true. It's why he held on in 2011 (by rights, it should have been an SNP gain in 2007) The Tories, in terms of constituency seats have held on by virtue of being able to build up a local base on the three sats they retained. McLetchie's loss was unexpected.

[afleitch]

Using the same information, I decided to do the 2007 results by Westminster constituency just to show some patterns that might show up in the coming GE. Hopefully the abbreviations make sense. As usual CON-LAB-LIB-SNP-OTH

DUMF   15834   11534   2331   12335   286
DCT   11779   10202   5470   8359   25
BRS   13469   3564   13766   8817   318
AYRNA   5978   10986   2143   10610   4360
AYRC   10578   14024   2858   11803   78
AYRCC   10732   14544   1749   11518   724
KIL   4726   15980   2243   16079   194
EK   4950   17557   3511   15379   
LAN   6177   16609   3612   12307   801
RUT   3353   15107   6353   8532   1730
LIV   3550   16174   2611   15988   2778
LIN   4523   17112   3016   15736   36
FAL   4444   16194   3437   16380   
STI   9153   12594   4509   12734   557
OCH   9596   10495   4592   16143   200
PER   11451   4668   4790   18957   375
NEF   8675   2904   13786   7241   652
GLEN   2089   13253   2151   13302   10
KIRK   4562   15873   4831   11049   
DUNF   3251   12379   10993   9366   438
ARG   8355   8017   10654   12462   72
WDUM   2889   16408   2853   13155   237
EDUM   7566   11287   6295   9387   5283
CUM   2108   16423   2490   12511   2234
COAT   2587   16625   1753   9322   2821
AIR   2397   12839   1538   10452   1300
MOTH   2503   15474   1944   9325   3290
INVC   4116   13616   4527   8944   
RENN   6490   15747   2674   10326   475
RENS   3647   15373   3829   10499   162
EREN   14186   15077   3603   7972   1327
MOR   7553   4843   4430   16735   100
BAN   6322   3400   4330   18794   77
GORD   4920   4956   11615   14183   307
ABW   8846   2878   15121   9522   17
ABN   2569   10502   4471   12768   
ABS   5491   5914   11555   8671   
EDSW   10683   11499   5879   10663   
EDS   8721   9604   11771   6609   
EDE   4226   11628   8456   12205   
EDN   5205   11994   9698   8717   
EDW   8716   6428   15134   8583   580
MIDL   3168   12230   5029   11807   498
ELOT   6844   14283   7481   11825   
ANG   8856   4418   3820   15272   
DUNDE   4819   8642   2484   16405   
DUNDW   2378   10993   3082   13512   
INVN   4485   7352   10700   15144   77
ROSS   3036   4454   12812   10352   190
CAIT   2822   3694   9942   7620   982
GNW   3172   13364   2770   8457   1823
GN   2411   7763   3373   6464   1316
GNE   1188   12853   1340   6574   484
GE   1394   10101   1176   5655   627
GC   1983   10354   2663   8609   1637
GS   2885   11307   3855   9876   1897
GSW   1745   13419   1664   8448   1333
ORKSH   2604   1804   10644   3259   137
WI   752   5677   852   6354